Real Estate

/Tag:Real Estate

Mortgage Interest Deduction In Play, 2018 Housing Market Still Cloudy

The controversial mortgage interest deduction is still in play if you follow the back and forth in DC, and the picture for housing is still rather cloudy. There is a lot which could change depending on what Congress tries to ram through reconciliation in terms of the House and Senate tax sausage. Regardless of what Congress and the GOP approve, you can rest assured it won't stimulate job growth and it won't contribute to long-term economic growth. What we are seeing play out in the halls of DC and Wall Street right now is a [...]

Flattening Yield Curve & Spiraling Debt – What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

All is well in the land of rainbows and unicorns. At least that's the message being floated from DC and their Wall Street handlers. Apparently the economic "recovery" has been so robust that Janet and company at the FOMC have even starting to unwind that massive hedge fund, even if they are doing so at a snails pace. As Professor Anthony Sanders noted, at the current pace of normalization the Fed will manage to unwind the mess they have created in a mere 7 years. Despite all of the rhetoric about tax cuts and economic [...]

New Home Sales Jump In October, Average Prices Hit New High

New home sales continued to enjoy a hurricane-related boost in October. The Census Bureau reported new single-family home sales at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 685,000, up 6.2 percent from revised September numbers and 18.7 percent higher than a year ago. The median price of a new home in October was $312,800 while the average price of a new home was $400,200. The talking heads will no doubt see this as a boon for the housing industry, and the numbers are certainly encouraging. That being said, I wouldn't read too much into the volatile [...]

Average New Home Size Continues To Shrink

The National Association of Home Builders reported that the median and average size of a new home in the U.S. continued to decline in the third quarter. Third quarter numbers on housing starts show that the median single-family new home size was 2,378 square feet.  The average square footage for new single-family homes declined to 2,518 square feet. According to the NAHB, this is apparently just part of the normal housing cycle. "The post-recession increase in single-family home size is consistent with the historical pattern coming out of recessions. Typical new home size falls prior to and during a [...]

QE Or Bust – US Yield Curve Continues To Flatten

Behold the flattening U.S. yield curve! Reading through the latest Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit, you might get the impression that things are still humming along just fine. After all total household debt just hit a new high in the latest survey posting at $12.96 trillion. Mortgage debt is still below the previous bubble peak, so home buyers would appear to be doing doing just fine. If you peak below the headline metrics, however, you begin to see some cracks in the "everything is awesome" narrative. One of the first things that stands [...]

3000 New Homes Coming To Pecan Square Northlake TX

Hillwood Communities has purchased 1157 acres for a new master-planned community to be named Pecan Square. Pecan Square will be a new development in Northlake Texas, west of I-35 along FM 407. Pecan Square will feature new homes from Ashton Woods, CalAtlantic (aka Lennar post-merger), D.R. Horton, David Weekley, Highland, Perry, Plantation and Pulte. Hillwood Communities expects to break ground on Pecan Square in the spring of 2018 with new homes arriving to the market in the summer of 2019. New home prices in Pecan Square are slated to start in the mid $200's. Pecan [...]

DFW Home Prices Pushing Limits Of Affordability

DFW home prices have been on a tear during the last 5 years. That begs the question of whether the recent price gains are sustainable. The answer to that inquiry generally boils down to who is selling what. In our hyper-financialized housing market it is not surprising when real estate practitioners or lenders suggest that we are not in a housing bubble. Whether you call it a housing bubble or not, there is no denying that the past decade has seen some dramatic shifts in the real estate market. Dallas/Fort Worth is certainly part of [...]

New Home Sales Get Hurricane Boost

New home sales rose 17 percent in September compared to the same month last year. Census estimated new home sales for September at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 667,000 in September. The median price of a new home contracted in September was $319,700 while the average price of a new home contracted in September stood at $385,200. Both figures represent increases from last year's prices. The supply of new homes decreased to 5 months in September, a slight decrease from the 5.1 month supply level at this time last year. The rise in [...]

ATTOM Misses Big On Single Family Rentals For Dallas, Houston

I'm always curious when sell-side media types tout the glorious returns to be had when it comes to investing in single-family rentals. As if it weren't bad enough that the Federal Reserve has eviscerated housing market fundamentals, there is apparently never enough of a good thing when it comes to hyping up potential real estate riches in our hyper-financialized economy. That brings me to a gloriously entertaining piece from one Andrea Riquier at Marketwatch. The article is "Fancy being a landlord? Here are 10 metros offering double-digit rental returns." And what a story it is! Since [...]

Denton TX Home Prices Take A Breather

Denton TX home prices have leveled off during the last few months as the rampant home price inflation seen throughout the DFW area softened the last few months. Typical seasonal factors are at play as well as some general cooling of DFW's overheated housing market. The average price for a new Denton TX home stood at $295,533 in September, down from the peak of $340, 123 seen in January this year. Prices for resale homes in Denton TX peaked in June this year with the average price hitting $274, 070 before cooling to $240,607. The average [...]