Market Cycles

7 Tips for Denton County Home Buyers as the Housing Bubble Pops

Here are 7 tips for Denton County home buyers as the post-pandemic housing bubble pops. We've seen some epic moves in the bond markets the last few days. The yield on the 10-year treasury bond spiked to 3.5% on Tuesday, pushing mortgage rates to yearly highs. The rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgage jumped to 6.28% according to Mortgage News Daily. Inflation is raging, and consumers are losing patience. If they aren’t already priced out of the market, many buyers are hitting the pause button. Home affordability has been absolutely crushed the last few months as the [...]

Want To Sell Your Denton County Home? Time To Get Real

Denton County home sellers are experiencing a different real estate market in 2019. It's the type of market some people probably remember, but one they haven't experienced for a number of years as the Federal Reserve and other global banks jawboned markets higher and fueled a speculative frenzy in global real estate. Average days on market continued to rise in February. Even though sales activity rebounded a bit last month, the Denton County housing market correction that started during the last half of 2018 is still taking shape. While many housing pundits and professional economists [...]

Dallas Fort Worth Real Estate Staring At Potential Bear Market

The Dallas-Fort Worth real estate market is looking at a bear of a problem. After the worst Christmas-Eve trading session in history for U.S. stock markets, time is running out for the wise guys on Wall Street to save indices from entering bear market territory. Looking at home prices and sales volumes in the DFW area, it would seem things are still running along fairly normally; however, it could be a mistake to assume the recent softness in home sales is just a blip in an otherwise stabilizing market. We could easily see a rally into [...]

Dallas Morning News Real Estate Desk Continues Comedy Of Errors

The Dallas housing market isn't dead, but real estate editor, Steve Brown, continues floating more comical real estate industry spin to minimize what's going on with the Dallas-Fort Worth housing market. Mr. Brown's latest article about overdone expectations caught my attention. He's right that the truth is usually not as bad as those screaming fire. The DFW housing market certainly isn't dead. As I have explained, it is just beginning to deflate. I'm not sure where Mr. Brown is getting his forecast for a 1 percent decline in home sales next year, but I certainly [...]

By |2018-12-05T12:42:09+00:00December 4th, 2018|Texas Real Estate|0 Comments

Higher Prices, Shrinking Homes – Denton County’s New Underwater Borrowers Found In HUD Annual Report

The Department of Housing and Urban Development's Fiscal Year 2018 report to Congress is filled with useful information on the state of the U.S. mortgage market. Contained within the 2018 annual report we can see where the latest crop of underwater borrowers are hiding in Denton County Texas. As the size of new homes continues to shrink, particularly for entry-level buyers, prices increases have begun to moderate or even decline in many areas. This poses a big problem for unsuspecting home buyers who have been roped into the housing market at the cycle peak with [...]

High End Dallas-Fort Worth Real Estate Could Get Crushed

As I detailed yesterday, the Dallas-Fort Worth real estate market fell out of bed last month. With pending home sales registered to post some of the worst numbers in years and inventory marching higher across the Dallas Fort Worth area, it is painfully clear that that the real economy in the DFW area is more fragile than the sell-side pundits would have us believe. I'm not surprised, because I cover the hype and spin in the real estate sector regularly on this blog. In a recent interview with Bloomberg, 'Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb specifically [...]

Denton County Home Inventory Climbs 17% As Sales Stagnate

The supply of homes for sale in Denton County TX continues to climb, even as area home sales stagnate. Recent data point to a 17 percent increase in the number of homes available for sale in Denton County compared to this time last year.  Home inventory in nearby Collin County is 21 percent higher than August of last year. Other major metro U.S. markets are seeing home inventory increase by as much as 90 percent. This was an inevitable point in the latest housing market cycle, for reasons that were obvious to anyone paying attention. [...]

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