Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates for Texas homebuyers

QE Or Bust – US Yield Curve Continues To Flatten

Behold the flattening U.S. yield curve! Reading through the latest Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit, you might get the impression that things are still humming along just fine. After all total household debt just hit a new high in the latest survey posting at $12.96 trillion. Mortgage debt is still below the previous bubble peak, so home buyers would appear to be doing doing just fine. If you peak below the headline metrics, however, you begin to see some cracks in the "everything is awesome" narrative. One of the first things that stands [...]

More Denton County Homes For Sale As QE Unwind Begins

As the Federal Reserve begins their QE unwind, one interesting metric to watch will be the number of Denton County homes for sale. The number of Denton TX homes for sale was up 34 percent year-over-year in October. In Denton County inventory was roughly 18 percent higher through October. In Collin County the number of homes for sale was up a surprising 38 percent compared to last year. Reading between the lines, it appears the Goldilocks economy that the DFW area has enjoyed for the past 5 years is due for some consolidation. The inventory [...]

New Home Sales Get Hurricane Boost

New home sales rose 17 percent in September compared to the same month last year. Census estimated new home sales for September at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 667,000 in September. The median price of a new home contracted in September was $319,700 while the average price of a new home contracted in September stood at $385,200. Both figures represent increases from last year's prices. The supply of new homes decreased to 5 months in September, a slight decrease from the 5.1 month supply level at this time last year. The rise in [...]

New Home Sales Cool 1.2% In August

The Census Bureau reported that new home sales fell 1.2% year-over-year in August. As we saw last week with the existing home sales decline, Hurricane Harvey put a damper on real estate transactions in the southern states. It is quite likely that September home sales will also be affected by the fallout from Harvey. The median price of a new home contracted in August was $300,200 during the month of August. The average price of a new home contracted last month was $368,100. Both figures represent price increases from a year ago. Median new home [...]

New Home Sales Fall 9 Percent In July

New home sales fell to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 571,000 units in July. This was well below consensus estimates and roughly 9 percent lower than last years rate of 627,000 units according to Census Bureau numbers. The median price of a new home contracted in July was $313,700 and the average price of a new home in July was $371,200. Sharp price increases compared to last year help to explain the sharp decrease in new home sales activity in July. On a positive note, the three previous months of sales were revised higher. [...]

New Home Sales Rise 9.1 Percent In June

The Census Bureau estimated new home sales for June at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 610,000. This was close to expectations, but the previous three months were revised lower. Median price of a new home contracted in June was estimated at $310,800, roughly $10,800 lower than June of last year. The average price of a new home in June was $379,500. This was $15,200 higher than a year ago. With prices now at or above the previous cycle peak, new home builders will have to be creative to maintain sales volume growth. A favorable [...]

New Home Sales Tumbled In April, Unchanged Year-Over-Year

So much for the Trump bump euphoria. New home sales tumbled in April, posting at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 569,000. This was 73,000 below the revised March figure and far below analysts expectations. Then again analysts haven't been paying attention to the real economy, so this latest data is not a surprise to anyone who doesn't have their head in the sand. Year-over-year, new home sales for April are back to unchanged according to the latest Census figures. And just like that, the "pent up demand" that pundits have been talking about has [...]

New Home Sales Rise In March, Back To 1971 Levels

The Census Bureau reported that March new home sales posted at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 621,000 units. This was up 5.8 percent from revised February numbers and the third consecutive month of sales gains for new homes. Combined with the March rise in existing home sales it would appear the first quarter of 2017 has been net positive for home sales despite the backdrop of higher mortgage rates. Preliminary new home sales for March were up 15.6% year-over-year. The average price of a new home contracted in March was $388,200, while the median [...]

NAR: Existing Home Sales Cool In February

The National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales cooled to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.48 million in February. Sales of existing homes fell 3.7 from January levels but were 5.4 percent higher year-over-year. NAR continues to fret about an inventory shortage when the real culprit is elevated home prices in general. Existing home sales are still treading at levels well below the previous cycle peak. As I have said repeatedly, there is no shortage of homes for sale. There is a shortage of affordable homes for sale, homes that real working [...]

NAR Finally Gets Real About Home Affordability Issues

The National Association of Realtors is out with a new method of gauging home affordability. As part of NAR's look at the the growing rift between housing availability and home affordability, NAR has developed a new affordability distribution curve and a home affordability score. The new monthly research is designed to look at home affordability conditions among different income percentiles, gauging how many homes on the market are actually affordable to various buyer income groups. The new affordability distribution curve and score show that many U.S. homes are no longer affordable to typical prospective buyers. [...]

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