Economy

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Economic Issues Affecting Texas Housing Markets

Denton TX Home Sales Hit The Breaks In July

Denton TX home sales hit the breaks in July. It would appear that the summer selling season peaked a little sooner than normal in the Denton County area this year. It looks like both the city of Denton and the greater Denton County area saw home sales volume peak in June. Closed home sales in the city of Denton are off by 20 percent according to preliminary stats this morning. Pending home sales in Denton are off by 10 percent. Denton County looks like it will squeak out a 1 percent sales increase for July, [...]

By |2018-08-12T20:53:16+00:00August 12th, 2018|Economy, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments

New Home Builders Clipped By Weak Order Growth

New home builders had a relatively rough week with several major publicly-traded builders experiencing some nasty haircuts in their stock prices. With the exception of DR Horton, it wasn't a good week for home builder stocks. While Facebook and Twitter were seeing record drops in their share prices, new home builders were also experiencing a hangover from weak growth in new home orders. The Dow Jones Home Construction Index has trended lower for most of the year, down almost 18 percent year-to-date. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to understand why the index peaked just [...]

RECenter A&M Economists Still Wasting Texas Realtors’ Money

RECenter at A&M economists and data junkies are still wasting the dues of Texas Realtors that pay a good chunk of their salaries. It seems the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M economists are phase-locked in a myopic pursuit to somehow rationalize or justify the status quo situation with Texas housing. "Intellectual Phase-Locking is a condition that results when dogmatic 'scientific' assumptions inhibit further inquiry." Rupert Sheldrake Last year I wrote about some of the interesting details on the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M and their funding. I have also clued readers in on the [...]

DFW Adds 10,000 Jobs In June, CPI Still Running Hot

The DFW area tacked on another 10,000 jobs during the month of June according to numbers released by the Texas Workforce Commission. That was more than a third of the 27,200 positions gained in Texas during the month. The unemployment rate for the Dallas-Fort Worth- Arlington MSA posted a 3.8 percent, just slightly below the 3.9 percent figure at this time last year. Midland Texas still held the lowest unemployment rate in Texas at only 2.4 percent. While the Dallas area still posted solid job gains during the month of June, the unadjusted numbers show [...]

Dallas Morning News Real Estate Desk Still Missing The Boat

Dallas Morning News' real estate editor, Steve Brown, seems to be waking up to the fact that the DFW real estate market is cooling. He's still off the mark when it comes to the recent peak in DFW home sales, but at least he acknowledged the sales decline last month.  DFW home sales fell for the month of June. See, that wasn't so hard. After successive years of abnormal price growth, the DFW area saw a reported 3 percent decline in home sales in June. I say "reported", because as I detailed in a previous [...]

Denton Home Sales Soar In June As DFW Sales Swoon

DFW home sales fell in June with the diminishing supply of affordable homes. Home prices are still rising in many DFW submarkets, but sales are cooling in the more expensive submarkets. NTREIS stats reflect a sales decline of roughly 3-4 percent in June in the Dallas-Fort Worth area compared to the same month last year. The same held true in Denton County where sales also fell 3-4% compared to last year. The city of Denton bucked the trend in June with a 30 percent sales gain in June. How? In a word, it was all [...]

Zero-Down Mortgages Return With New Names

Surprise! Zero-down mortgages are back! Just when you thought we had learned the lessons of the subprime mortgage meltdown nearly a decade ago, along come new twists on an old formula. The recipe is pretty simple, and the inevitable outcomes are fairly predictable, yet that won't deter some people from making irrational decisions when it comes to the fear of missing out (FOMO). The latest strategies to put cash-strapped buyers into homes they probably can't afford are similar to crowdfunding. HomeFundMe is an example of one such program where buyers can solicit donations for a [...]

All Roads Still Point Toward Yield Curve Inversion

With the Federal Reserve's balance sheet normalization process set to kick into a higher gear next month, all roads still point toward a yield curve inversion. While govt officials and the Fed's pie-in-the-sky economists continue to was about a robust economy with unemployment levels hovering near cycle lows, there are some widening cracks appearing in the global QE Ponzi scheme. Yesterday the Fed found some "widespread and critical deficiencies" in Deutsche Bank's capital planning controls. You don't say! The stock of Germany's largest bank, a toxic time bomb of opaque derivatives, continues to plumb news [...]

DFW Region Posts Solid Job Growth In May

The Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington (DFW) region posted another month of solid employment gains in May, tacking on an additional 20,200 jobs compared to April according to non-adjusted numbers from the Texas Workforce Commission. For the 12-month period in May, the DFW area has added 122,000 jobs. This kept the official unemployment rate for the Dallas-Fort Worth area at 3.4 percent. Texas added 34,700 seasonally adjusted nonfarm jobs during the month. While job growth remains solid in the DFW area, what's also running hot are DFW prices. The consumer price index for the Dallas MSA posted at [...]

Sears At Golden Triangle Mall In Denton TX Closing In September

Sears Holdings announced a new batch of store closings and it appears the long anticipated closure of the Golden Triangle Sears location is finally here. After reporting dismal first quarter results, Sears announced a new batch of 72 Sears and KMart locations that will be shut down in September. According to the latest press release from Sears Holdings, the auto center at the Golden Triangle Denton TX location will shut down in early June. In addition to the Denton Sears closure, three other DFW stores will also be shut down in early September. Those Sears [...]