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DFW Housing Market Will Hit The Wall Again

The DFW housing market is reflating on borrowed time, and it will soon hit the wall again. North Texas home sales jumped roughly 8 percent in October, while Dallas-Fort Worth home prices experienced some of the best gains in 2 years.  Pending sales for October were also higher, indicating we'll likely be able to finish out the year on a positive note for the housing market. This may seem like great news for housing market aficionados and the area's largest paper, but things will soon get interesting as the parlor trick of plunging mortgage rates [...]

Low Rates Keep North Texas Home Sales Alive In September

North Texas home sales improved by roughly 7 percent in September, boosted by an extremely favorable year-over-year mortgage rate comparison which kept affordability levels manageable for area home shoppers. Denton County saw a 7 percent improvement in September home closings, while the City of Denton saw home sales fall slightly compared to the same month in 2018. Pending home sales in the Dallas-Fort Worth area improved by 9 percent in September, but not by the magical 12 percent as reported in the area's largest paper. Pending sales activity in Denton County was up double digits, [...]

A&M RECenter Phoning It In On Denton County Home Sales Estimates

The Real Estate Center at Texas A&M is apparently still phoning it in when it comes to DFW area home sales estimates. I was hoping the A&M RECenter had fixed their algorithm for late closings to produce better monthly sales estimates for the local real estate boards. Unfortunately, there is still a lot of room for improvement. Dallas' largest paper reported a rise of 5 percent for single-family home sales in August. Updated NTREIS data show the actual sales increase was about 1 percent. The Pending sales increase also looks to be about 1 percent [...]

Denton TX Home Prices Hit New Record, DFW Real Estate Closes Out Strong Summer

Denton Texas hit a new record in August, with average home prices pushing above $284,000 for the month. The average price of a single-family home in Denton TX pushed above $290,000 for the month, eclipsing the previous record set in June. The plunge in mortgage interest rates back to near record lows kept the summer sales momentum going for the local real estate market. Denton County saw home sales rise about 10 percent compared to August of last year, while pending sales look to post a slight gain as well. Flat pricing in Denton County [...]

Plunging Mortgage Rates Lift Denton County Home Sales In July

Plunging mortgage interest rates lifted Denton County home sales to a near record month in July. Home sales in Denton County posted a 14 percent year-over-year jump on record high average prices. The average price of a home sold in Denton County last month was a record $374,130. The surge in sales during July helped to offset the sales decline in June, and year-to-date sales are now slightly in positive territory. If you read Dallas' largest newspaper, the July rebound in the housing market was all about the strong economy and fabulous jobs market. In [...]

Denton County Home Sales Resume Slide In June Amid Affordability Crunch

Denton County home sales resumed their slide in June amid the continuing affordability crunch. Despite the large drop in mortgage interest rates experienced this year, home sales in Denton County dropped 6 percent compared to the same time last year. This was in line with the 6 percent slide seen throughout the DFW area. The average price of a home in Denton County in June posted at $364,887, a decline of 1 percent from June of 2018. Median home prices in Denton County were unchanged from June of last year, posting at $325,000. The bump [...]

Denton County Home Sales Climb In May, City of Denton Sees All-Time High For Prices

Denton County home sales rose 3 percent compared to the same month last year, driven by a the precipitous drop in mortgage rates which are now back below a 4-handle. The increase in home sales this spring has offset the weak start to the year during the first quarter. The average price of a Denton County home was roughly $368,525 in May, up 4 percent from prices last year. The inventory of homes for sale in Denton County rose 25 percent, hitting 3.4 months of supply. New home sales continued to fare better than the [...]

Existing Home Sales Decline For 14th Consecutive Month

The National Association of Realtors reported existing home sales for April which came in short of expectations. Existing sales in April posted at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.19 million units. This was 0.4 percent lower than March and 4.4 percent lower than April of 2018. According to NAR the median price of an existing home rose 3.6% in April to $267,300. The average price of an existing home in the U.S. rose 2.5% to $305,200. The inventory of existing homes for sale in April stood at 4.2 months, up 5% from a year [...]

Denton County Home Sales Continue Spring Rebound In April

Denton County home sales enjoyed a continued spring rebound in April as low mortgage rates fueled strong demand for new homes and improved affordability for prospective buyers. Home sales in Denton County jumped 7 percent from the same time last year, better than the 3 percent gain seen in the DFW area during April. The average price of a Denton County home declined just slightly in April to roughly $358,000. Closings of new construction rose 13 percent while sales of used homes improved 6 percent. Home sales in the City of Denton rose about 2 [...]

NAR: Existing Home Sales Disappoint, Down 5.4% In March

The National Association of Realtors reported existing home sales dropped 4.9 percent in March. This puts existing U.S. home sales down 5.4 percent compared to last year. Apparently the stimulus provided by crashing mortgage interest rates has already run its course. Home builders certainly aren't taking any chances, as confirmed by the weak starts and permits data we saw last week. Builders are apparently happy to sell off some of their remaining new home inventory rather than ramp up production in a meaningful way. NAR reported that the median price of an existing home in [...]