Housing Market

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Texas housing market news

Toll Brothers Stock Trips On Higher Cancellation Rate

Luxury home builder Toll Brothers reported fiscal second quarter results today, and Mr. Market was not amused. Toll Brothers net income declined for the latest quarter as did income from operations. Income from operations fell from 10.1 percent of revenues last year to 8.4 percent of revenues in Q2 2018. Perhaps more concerning was the jump in Toll's cancellation rate, rising from 3.5 percent last year to 5.2 percent in the second quarter of 2018. While the absolute percentage may seem small, this is actually a significant development when you consider that Toll can be extremely [...]

Denton TX Mortgage Rates Highest In 7 Years

Denton TX mortgage rates reached their highest levels in 7 years according to the latest weekly survey data from Freddie Mac. With Denton area home prices at record levels home sales activity and prices could soon be affected. As I have detailed in previous posts, you can already see this happening in many of the more expensive DFW submarkets. It is rather ironic that the Fed's latest Quarterly Report On Household Debt and Credit shows that debt rose for a 15th consecutive quarter with the latest increase fueled by mortgages and student loans. The real [...]

Denton County Home Sales Flat In April Amid Higher Mortgage Rates

Denton County home sales were relatively flat in April compared to the same month in 2017. Preliminary sales figures show a 1 percent decline in closings within Denton County compared to a two percent sales gain in the larger DFW area. Average home prices in Denton County were up 7.5 percent compared to last year, in line with the record high prices seen in recent months. Pending sales, a more forward-looking indicator of future closings also point to some stagnant sales activity ahead. Pending sales in Denton County show to be up 2.7 percent while [...]

Denton County Rental Market Remains Hot In 2018

The Denton County rental market is still running hot in 2018. April closings of rentals in Denton County show a 20 percent increase so far compared to the same time last year. Year-to-date figures for the DFW housing market also show strong activity in the rental market. Your typical rental home in Denton County cost a little over $1900 per month in April. That translates to a cost per square foot of $94, in line with the average price per square foot for the DFW area. While total rent prices may be higher, the price per [...]

The Fed Has Successfully Destroyed The U.S. Housing Market

A few days ago a friend of mine sent me a link to some "insight" on the coming economic developments that we should be preparing for in terms of debts and deficits. The company providing this research piece has over a $trillion in assets under management. Since I have a healthy skepticism of anything the financial "services" industry is selling I decided to give it a read. It was very informative, partly due to a complete fundamental ignorance of basic economics, but also because of an obvious contradiction with the author's stated assumptions. As I [...]

Meritage: “Strong Demand For Entry Level Homes” Drives New Orders Increase

Meritage Homes reported first quarter sales yesterday, and the publicly traded home builder admitted what many, including myself, have been saying. New home prices have eclipsed the threshold of what most Americans can afford (or are willing) to pay. Meritage saw a 2 percent increase in closed sales for the quarter on average new home prices that were up by just 1 percent. New orders grew 10 percent compared to the same quarter last year on average sales prices that were 2 percent lower. This is the dilemma now facing most new home builders with [...]

New Home Sales Climb In March With Lower Average Prices

The Census Bureau reported that new home sales in the United States climbed to a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 694,000 in March. This represents a sales increase of almost 9 percent compared to last year. Sales for January and February were also revised higher. The median price of a home sold in March was $337,200 while the average price of a new home contracted in March was $369,900 according to Census estimates. While the median price climbed in March, the average price of a new home in the United States declined by $14,500 [...]

Dallas Morning News Circulation Decline Might Reflect Quality Of Content

The circulation decline at the Dallas Morning News during the last few years might have something to do with the quality of the content. This is just the opinion of your humble blogger. According to Statista, the circulation of the DMN dropped in each of last three years for both daily and Sunday papers. Circulation of Dallas' largest paper still edges out the Houston Chronicle, but that's not saying much. While the number of readers of both papers is significantly higher, it appears fewer people are paying for the old print newspaper. Looking a the [...]

Denton County Home Prices Hit New High In March As Sales Cool

Denton County home prices hit a new record high in March with the average price of a Denton County home posting at just over $360,000. Median home prices for Denton County also hit a new all-time high rising to almost $320,000. That was a jump of 8 percent from March of last year. While home prices throughout the DFW area were hitting new highs at the end of the first quarter, actual closed sales of homes declined 5 percent in March. Denton County saw a similar 5 percent decline in home closings for the month. [...]

Lennar Homes Posts Solid First Quarter After CalAtlantic Acquisition

Lennar Homes delivered 6765 homes during the first quarter of 2018, the first fiscal quarter capturing a portion of the CalAtlantic acquisition. New orders at Lennar jumped 30% with a dollar value of $3.4 billion. After absorbing CalAtlantic Homes, the combined company now boasts a backlog of 17,566 homes with a combined value of $7.7 billion. Contributing to that huge backlog were 7190 homes from CalAtlantic worth an estimated $3.6 billion. Lennar is now America's largest home builder looking at the total dollar value of homes. We'll have to wait for 2nd quarter results fully [...]