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October New Home Sales Rise On Easy Comparison

On the surface, the Census Bureau's 31.6% year-over-year increase in new home sales for October looks spectacular. To put it in context, however, new home sales are simply responding to the Federal Reserve's market interventions and that spectacular plunge in mortgage interest rates providing a very easy year-over-year comparison. On a monthly basis, new home sales dipped about one percent in October to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 733,000 units. The longer term view shows new home sales still rising on a steady path out of the abyss. Along with the big drop in [...]

DFW Housing Market Will Hit The Wall Again

The DFW housing market is reflating on borrowed time, and it will soon hit the wall again. North Texas home sales jumped roughly 8 percent in October, while Dallas-Fort Worth home prices experienced some of the best gains in 2 years.  Pending sales for October were also higher, indicating we'll likely be able to finish out the year on a positive note for the housing market. This may seem like great news for housing market aficionados and the area's largest paper, but things will soon get interesting as the parlor trick of plunging mortgage rates [...]

Denton TX Home Prices Hit New Record, DFW Real Estate Closes Out Strong Summer

Denton Texas hit a new record in August, with average home prices pushing above $284,000 for the month. The average price of a single-family home in Denton TX pushed above $290,000 for the month, eclipsing the previous record set in June. The plunge in mortgage interest rates back to near record lows kept the summer sales momentum going for the local real estate market. Denton County saw home sales rise about 10 percent compared to August of last year, while pending sales look to post a slight gain as well. Flat pricing in Denton County [...]

New Home Sales Rise 4.5 Percent In June On Lower Rates

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for June at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 646,000 units. This was up 7 percent from revised May figures and 4.5 percent higher than a year ago. The previous three months were revised lower. The median price of a new home contracted in June was $310,400, almost unchanged from last year. The average price of a new home in June was $368,600, a decrease of $1500 from June 2018. Months of supply stood at 6.3 in June, up from 6.0 months of supply last year. Translated on [...]

DFW Unemployment Rate Drops To 3.3 Percent

The Texas unemployment rate hit a fresh low in the month of June, with the official headline number falling to 3.4 percent. According to the Texas Workforce Commission Texas added 45,000 jobs during the month and 315,600 jobs over the latest 12 month period. Dallas-Fort Worth posted an unemployment rate of 3.3 percent, down from 3.8 percent a year ago. The news from the TWC is that Texas continues to be a beneficiary of the longest economic expansion in U.S. history, and the DFW area has certainly been a part of that expansion. Denton County [...]

International Real Estate Activity In U.S. Cools Dramatically In Latest Survey

Foreign buyers are cooling on U.S. residential real estate. NAR's Profile of International Transactions in U.S. Residential Real Estate 2019 shows foreign purchases declined 36 percent from the previous 12 month period to $77.9 billion. That translates to 183,100 home purchases, or roughly 3 percent of existing home sales in the U.S. Chinese purchases of U.S. real estate declined 56 percent to $13.4 billion in dollar volume. NAR's latest survey shows that the escalating trade war and stagnating global economy are definitely taking a toll on foreign investment in residential real estate in the United [...]

Denton County Home Sales Climb In May, City of Denton Sees All-Time High For Prices

Denton County home sales rose 3 percent compared to the same month last year, driven by a the precipitous drop in mortgage rates which are now back below a 4-handle. The increase in home sales this spring has offset the weak start to the year during the first quarter. The average price of a Denton County home was roughly $368,525 in May, up 4 percent from prices last year. The inventory of homes for sale in Denton County rose 25 percent, hitting 3.4 months of supply. New home sales continued to fare better than the [...]

Denton County Employment Growth Still Solid, Why Are Home Sales Stagnating?

Denton County employment growth is still humming along. The Dallas-Fort Worth area continues to add jobs. Even with the job growth, home price gains in the DFW area continue to slow. This is confirmed in the recent numbers from Case-Shiller. Along with many professional PhD economists, the Case-Shiller committee seems to be puzzled that the housing market isn't firing on all cylinders given the recent plunge in mortgage interest rates. "Given the broader economic picture, housing should be doing better." Even Freddie Mac's deputy chief economist seems to be perplexed that the housing market isn't [...]

Denton County Home Sales Continue Spring Rebound In April

Denton County home sales enjoyed a continued spring rebound in April as low mortgage rates fueled strong demand for new homes and improved affordability for prospective buyers. Home sales in Denton County jumped 7 percent from the same time last year, better than the 3 percent gain seen in the DFW area during April. The average price of a Denton County home declined just slightly in April to roughly $358,000. Closings of new construction rose 13 percent while sales of used homes improved 6 percent. Home sales in the City of Denton rose about 2 [...]

DFW Contract Activity Cools In April As Stimulus From Lower Rates Fades

DFW contract activity faded in April. Looking at the preliminary sales data for North Texas, it is apparent that the stimulus from the big drop in mortgage rates has run its course. It will be another week or so before we get the official press release numbers, but the data is telling. April was another good month for home sales. Actual closings for home sales showed a robust real estate market in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, but contract signings were another matter. Preliminary sales data indicate that the DFW real estate market is peaking prematurely [...]