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Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates for Texas homebuyers

DC’s Fiscal Lunacy, Fed’s Unwind Creating Waves For Housing Market

The fiscal lunacy in Washington and the Federal Reserve's balance sheet unwind are creating waves for the housing market. 2018 was starting off on the right foot with a noticeable, yet moderate rise in bond yields. As we received more concrete evidence that the Federal Reserve was actually unwinding some of that gigantic balance sheet, volatility erupted pretty quickly. After a 12oo point plunge in the Dow, some savvy mortgage borrowers probably took advantage of the temporary fear in the market to score a decent mortgage rate. It was a small window of opportunity, because [...]

By |2018-09-08T15:50:43+00:00February 8th, 2018|Denton County Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Mortgages, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Quicken Loans Overtakes Wells Fargo As Largest Mortgage Lender

Quicken Loans overtook Wells Fargo as the largest mortgage lender in the U.S. during the fourth quarter of 2017. Quicken Loans, with their Rocket Mortgage platform, reportedly originated $25 billion in home loans in the last three months of 2017. Wells Fargo was second with $23 billion, followed by Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase at $13 billion and $11 billion respectively. In case you missed it, here's the Rocket Mortgage ad aired during the Super Bowl... 2018 was poised to be a decent year for mortgage lenders, but likely not for Wells Fargo. Serial [...]

By |2018-02-05T17:52:05+00:00February 5th, 2018|Denton County Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Mortgage Rates, Mortgages, Texas Real Estate, Video|0 Comments
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Fed Unwinds $21 Billion, Markets Puke On Higher Yields

The Federal Reserve System Open Market Account Holdings (SOMA) report for January 31st finally revealed the balance sheet unwind in action. Since the Fed announced their balance sheet unwind last year, the actual process had been proceeding at a snails pace, particularly with the mortgage-backed securities portfolio. The MBS instruments can take 2-3 months to roll off, so the MBS unwind has been virtually invisible until this week. With a $21 billion drawdown in the latest week, including over $10 billion in agency MBS unwind, it becomes increasingly clear why the markets were puking all [...]

By |2018-05-12T00:52:47+00:00February 2nd, 2018|Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Education, Housing Market, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Politics, Regulation, Texas Employment|0 Comments
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Federal Reserve Sowed The Seeds Of The Next Housing Downturn

The Federal Reserve is poised to cause yet another housing downturn in the U.S. I'm not talking about a spectacular Lehman style apocalypse mind you, but an honest downturn that will be unavoidable. Today's S&P Case-Shiller home price index showed another rise in Dallas home prices in November. This is essentially lagged data confirming what most prospective DFW home buyers already knew, namely that Dallas area home prices are pretty damn high. The national index showed that U.S. home prices were up 6.2 percent, or roughly three times average U.S. hourly income growth. The BEA [...]

By |2019-04-12T16:19:09+00:00January 30th, 2018|Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, Mortgage Rates, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Fed Adds $705 Million Agency MBS With Un-Unwind

The Federal Reserve's balance sheet unwind was MIA again this week as agency MBS increased with latest System Open Market Account Account Holdings report. SOMA January 24 holdings reflected a magical $705 million INCREASE in agency mortgage-backed securities. This is rather strange behavior indeed for what was advertised as a balance sheet "unwind". It's looking more like the un-unwind, at least for the past two weeks. Much like the crony capitalist elite dining in Davos, the fine purveyors of bogus economic theory inhabiting the halls of the Marriner Eccles building are probably a tad bit [...]

By |2018-01-26T16:14:43+00:00January 26th, 2018|DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales, Real Estate, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Dallas TX Employment Growth Sputters In December But Finishes Year Higher

Dallas TX employment growth sputtered in December with the non-adjusted numbers from the Texas Workforce Commission showing a gain of 2000 jobs for DFW in December. That's a far cry from the strong numbers seen in November, but the yearly gains were still respectable. Over the 12 month period the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA added 91,700 jobs. Dallas Fort Worth is still running hotter than the Houston region, with CPI numbers that are almost twice as strong (3.2% vs 1.7%). The official (massaged) unemployment rate in Dallas stood at 3.6% in December. Houston posted an unemployment [...]

By |2020-03-28T14:43:47+00:00January 20th, 2018|Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Employment, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Texas Employment, Texas Home Prices, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Denton County Real Estate 2018: All Eyes On The Fed

As we embrace the new year, and the freezing temperatures that arrived with it, Denton County real estate prices continued to climb higher as sales continue to grow at a measured pace. The housing boom seen during the last 4-5 years has been impressive by any standards. As the Fed continues its much anticipated balance sheet "normalization", there is a lot at stake for local real estate markets.  The U.S. housing market is now heavily dependent on Fed stimulus, in the form of artificially depressed mortgage interest rates, and the artificial "wealth effect" created by [...]

By |2024-07-06T22:49:56+00:00January 2nd, 2018|Dallas Tx Employment, Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Property Taxes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Fed Balance Sheet Unwind Proceeding At Snails Pace

The balance sheet unwind for the Federal Reserve is proceeding at a snails pace. After a rather large jump in the securities holdings last week, we should have seen a resumption in the balance sheet shrinkage. Interestingly the Fed's holdings of Treasury and mortgage securities only fell by $4.8 billion this past week. A look at the weekly System Open Market Account Holdings shows there is a lot of work to do in the last week of the year if the Fed is going to stick to it's stated unwind schedule. While the Fed has [...]

By |2022-01-05T03:39:49+00:00December 24th, 2017|Denton County Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Policy, Mortgage Rates, Mortgages, Real Estate, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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Mortgage Interest Deduction In Play, 2018 Housing Market Still Cloudy

The controversial mortgage interest deduction is still in play if you follow the back and forth in DC, and the picture for housing is still rather cloudy. There is a lot which could change depending on what Congress tries to ram through reconciliation in terms of the House and Senate tax sausage. Regardless of what Congress and the GOP approve, you can rest assured it won't stimulate job growth and it won't contribute to long-term economic growth. What we are seeing play out in the halls of DC and Wall Street right now is a [...]

By |2022-08-06T13:28:38+00:00December 7th, 2017|Economy, Education, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Mortgage Rates, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Flattening Yield Curve & Spiraling Debt – What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

All is well in the land of rainbows and unicorns. At least that's the message being floated from DC and their Wall Street handlers. Apparently the economic "recovery" has been so robust that Janet and company at the FOMC have even starting to unwind that massive hedge fund, even if they are doing so at a snails pace. As Professor Anthony Sanders noted, at the current pace of normalization the Fed will manage to unwind the mess they have created in a mere 7 years. Despite all of the rhetoric about tax cuts and economic [...]

By |2022-01-05T03:40:44+00:00December 2nd, 2017|Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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