October 2021

October New Home Sales Below Expectations

New home sales came in lighter than expected for October. The previous three months were also revised lower. Census numbers showed October new home sales at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 745,000 units. Months of supply rose slightly to 6.3, but up 80 percent from last year. If supply is so abundant, why aren't new homes selling like hotcakes? The answer lies in the real unadjusted data. The Census Bureau puts a lot of seasonally adjusted optimism into their figures. Headline Census estimates for new home sales get repeated by major media all [...]

Seasonality Returning to the Denton County Housing Market

Seasonality is returning to the Denton County housing market. Home sales fell for a fourth consecutive month in October. Closed sales were down 15 percent. Pending sales fell 9 percent from the same time a year ago. Home prices in Denton County are still overheated. Median prices were up 17.3 percent. The average price of a Denton County home was 22.6 percent higher compared to last year. While prices remained off their record highs seen in August, prices on a per square foot basis set new records. The median of $186 per square foot was [...]

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