Denton County Home Prices

Denton County Home Rental Prices Stagnate

Single-family rental prices in Denton County were basically flat during December. As home prices have continued to creep higher in the area, average rents for single-family homes in Denton County are not as strong. Prospective renters are likely getting stretched with home price inflation exceeding average wage growth. This would help to explain why the average price of home rented in Denton County in December 2017 dropped about 2 percent compared to December 2016. The average price per square foot for a rental in Denton County did rise slightly, but the average size of homes [...]

Misguided Expectations For Inflation And Bond Yields In 2018

The Federal Reserve has proven they are devoid of credibility when it comes to their advertised mandates of full employment and price stability. What the Fed is good at is the same thing it has always been good at...blowing bubbles and serving the interests of Wall Street banks. Thus it should come as no surprise that many of the clueless PhD economists working for the Federal Reserve are calling for an uptick in inflation in 2018. You know, because the labor market is so "tight" and current inflation is still tepid. The Fed of course [...]

Denton County Real Estate 2018: All Eyes On The Fed

As we embrace the new year, and the freezing temperatures that arrived with it, Denton County real estate prices continued to climb higher as sales continue to grow at a measured pace. The housing boom seen during the last 4-5 years has been impressive by any standards. As the Fed continues its much anticipated balance sheet "normalization", there is a lot at stake for local real estate markets.  The U.S. housing market is now heavily dependent on Fed stimulus, in the form of artificially depressed mortgage interest rates, and the artificial "wealth effect" created by [...]

Tax “Reform” Makes Denton County Property Taxes Even Less Appealing

The Tax Cuts And Jobs Act was signed into law this week, and a significant portion of your Denton County property taxes may no longer be deductible under the new law in 2018. Aside from being one of the worst researched and most ill-conceived pieces of legislation in modern history, the new tax bill is very favorable to corporate America. Unfortunately the new tax "reform" is not exactly friendly to home ownership. It remains to be seen how the new tax law will affect DFW area home prices, but the new rules certainly don't favor [...]

New Home Sales Soar In November Despite Higher Prices

New home sales jumped 26.6 percent compared to November of last year. The Census Bureau reported that new home sales for November posted at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 733,000. This was well above expectations, and a 17.5 percent increase from the revised October numbers. Before you get too excited however, it's important to realize that the Census numbers are highly volatile and subject to significant revisions. The previous three months of new home sales were all revised lower, so expect some revisions to this November spike as well. The median price of a [...]

Denton County Home Prices Closing Year On High Note

Denton County home prices and sales volume have remained strong into the holiday season. After experiencing a soft patch in September home sales in Denton County resumed their march higher. It would appear that home prices in the Denton area are poised to hit new highs at the end of the year if momentum continues. Median home prices in Denton were about 3 percent higher through November, while median prices in Denton County jumped 11 percent compared to a year ago. Average prices in Denton County also reflect a 10 percent increase through November. Denton [...]

New Home Sales Jump In October, Average Prices Hit New High

New home sales continued to enjoy a hurricane-related boost in October. The Census Bureau reported new single-family home sales at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 685,000, up 6.2 percent from revised September numbers and 18.7 percent higher than a year ago. The median price of a new home in October was $312,800 while the average price of a new home was $400,200. The talking heads will no doubt see this as a boon for the housing industry, and the numbers are certainly encouraging. That being said, I wouldn't read too much into the volatile [...]

Average New Home Size Continues To Shrink

The National Association of Home Builders reported that the median and average size of a new home in the U.S. continued to decline in the third quarter. Third quarter numbers on housing starts show that the median single-family new home size was 2,378 square feet.  The average square footage for new single-family homes declined to 2,518 square feet. According to the NAHB, this is apparently just part of the normal housing cycle. "The post-recession increase in single-family home size is consistent with the historical pattern coming out of recessions. Typical new home size falls prior to and during a [...]

QE Or Bust – US Yield Curve Continues To Flatten

Behold the flattening U.S. yield curve! Reading through the latest Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit, you might get the impression that things are still humming along just fine. After all total household debt just hit a new high in the latest survey posting at $12.96 trillion. Mortgage debt is still below the previous bubble peak, so home buyers would appear to be doing doing just fine. If you peak below the headline metrics, however, you begin to see some cracks in the "everything is awesome" narrative. One of the first things that stands [...]

3000 New Homes Coming To Pecan Square Northlake TX

Hillwood Communities has purchased 1157 acres for a new master-planned community to be named Pecan Square. Pecan Square will be a new development in Northlake Texas, west of I-35 along FM 407. Pecan Square will feature new homes from Ashton Woods, CalAtlantic (aka Lennar post-merger), D.R. Horton, David Weekley, Highland, Perry, Plantation and Pulte. Hillwood Communities expects to break ground on Pecan Square in the spring of 2018 with new homes arriving to the market in the summer of 2019. New home prices in Pecan Square are slated to start in the mid $200's. Pecan [...]

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