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In the Press

Dallas TX Employment Growth Sputters In December But Finishes Year Higher

Dallas TX employment growth sputtered in December with the non-adjusted numbers from the Texas Workforce Commission showing a gain of 2000 jobs for DFW in December. That's a far cry from the strong numbers seen in November, but the yearly gains were still respectable. Over the 12 month period the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA added 91,700 jobs. Dallas Fort Worth is still running hotter than the Houston region, with CPI numbers that are almost twice as strong (3.2% vs 1.7%). The official (massaged) unemployment rate in Dallas stood at 3.6% in December. Houston posted an unemployment [...]

By |2020-03-28T14:43:47+00:00January 20th, 2018|Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Employment, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Texas Employment, Texas Home Prices, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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The Truth About DFW Housing Demand

The Dallas Morning News real estate desk just floated an interesting piece on housing demand in the DFW real estate market. According to the regurgitated Zillow source, almost 40 percent of Dallas area homes sold for more than asking price last year, and the median amount buyers paid over asking price was 5.7 percent or $12,023. Fortunately we have data from the North Texas Real Estate Information System to do a quick fact-check on this story. As it turns out Zillow's story doesn't hold water. Looking at the source of the Zillow story showing buyers chomping [...]

By |2018-01-11T15:16:03+00:00January 11th, 2018|Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Employment, Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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Another Fed “Senior Economist” Demonstrates Willful Ignorance

The Federal Reserve and its army of economists continue to demonstrate willful ignorance of their failed policies. This week it was the Kansas City Fed's Jordan Rappaport who penned another dose of misdirection on the housing market. Rappaport's piece, "Pent-Up Demand and Continuing Price Increases: The Outlook for Housing in 2018" is yet another example of how the Federal Reserve touts itself as a champion of real economy while they continue toe the line for Wall Street and wealthy investors. In the usual captured culture of Fed Mr. Rappaport lays out the theme of continued [...]

By |2018-01-11T20:18:49+00:00January 11th, 2018|Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton Tx Home Prices, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, New Home Sales, Politics, Real Estate, Regulation, Spin Cycle, Texas Home Prices, Texas Real Estate, Video|0 Comments
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December Jobs Growth Misses, Wage Growth Still Weak

Yesterday I was musing about the expected rise in inflation and bond yields that so many professional pundits and talking heads are expecting in 2018. That's the story being bantered about on various mainstream cable news puppet shows. Today we received another reality check on that "pent up demand" and overheating labor market story as the December Jobs Report painted a rather lackluster finish to 2017. The BLS Employment Situation showed an increase of 148,000 jobs in December. That's the good news from the establishment survey. The Household survey (Table A) showed an increase of [...]

By |2018-05-12T00:53:42+00:00January 5th, 2018|Dallas Tx Employment, Economy, Education, Housing Policy, In the Press, Markets, Politics, Spin Cycle, Video|0 Comments
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Misguided Expectations For Inflation And Bond Yields In 2018

The Federal Reserve has proven they are devoid of credibility when it comes to their advertised mandates of full employment and price stability. What the Fed is good at is the same thing it has always been good at...blowing bubbles and serving the interests of Wall Street banks. Thus it should come as no surprise that many of the clueless PhD economists working for the Federal Reserve are calling for an uptick in inflation in 2018. You know, because the labor market is so "tight" and current inflation is still tepid. The Fed of course [...]

By |2018-01-06T16:45:32+00:00January 4th, 2018|Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Policy, In the Press, Markets, Politics, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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Denton County Real Estate 2018: All Eyes On The Fed

As we embrace the new year, and the freezing temperatures that arrived with it, Denton County real estate prices continued to climb higher as sales continue to grow at a measured pace. The housing boom seen during the last 4-5 years has been impressive by any standards. As the Fed continues its much anticipated balance sheet "normalization", there is a lot at stake for local real estate markets.  The U.S. housing market is now heavily dependent on Fed stimulus, in the form of artificially depressed mortgage interest rates, and the artificial "wealth effect" created by [...]

By |2024-07-06T22:49:56+00:00January 2nd, 2018|Dallas Tx Employment, Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Property Taxes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Tax “Reform” Makes Denton County Property Taxes Even Less Appealing

The Tax Cuts And Jobs Act was signed into law this week, and a significant portion of your Denton County property taxes may no longer be deductible under the new law in 2018. Aside from being one of the worst researched and most ill-conceived pieces of legislation in modern history, the new tax bill is very favorable to corporate America. Unfortunately the new tax "reform" is not exactly friendly to home ownership. It remains to be seen how the new tax law will affect DFW area home prices, but the new rules certainly don't favor [...]

By |2017-12-23T00:57:57+00:00December 23rd, 2017|Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Property Taxes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Housing Policy, In the Press, Mortgages, Politics, Texas Real Estate|2 Comments
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Denton County Home Prices Closing Year On High Note

Denton County home prices and sales volume have remained strong into the holiday season. After experiencing a soft patch in September home sales in Denton County resumed their march higher. It would appear that home prices in the Denton area are poised to hit new highs at the end of the year if momentum continues. Median home prices in Denton were about 3 percent higher through November, while median prices in Denton County jumped 11 percent compared to a year ago. Average prices in Denton County also reflect a 10 percent increase through November. Denton [...]

By |2022-01-05T03:40:16+00:00December 15th, 2017|Denton County Home Prices, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Real Estate, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Flattening Yield Curve & Spiraling Debt – What Could Possibly Go Wrong?

All is well in the land of rainbows and unicorns. At least that's the message being floated from DC and their Wall Street handlers. Apparently the economic "recovery" has been so robust that Janet and company at the FOMC have even starting to unwind that massive hedge fund, even if they are doing so at a snails pace. As Professor Anthony Sanders noted, at the current pace of normalization the Fed will manage to unwind the mess they have created in a mere 7 years. Despite all of the rhetoric about tax cuts and economic [...]

By |2022-01-05T03:40:44+00:00December 2nd, 2017|Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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New Home Sales Jump In October, Average Prices Hit New High

New home sales continued to enjoy a hurricane-related boost in October. The Census Bureau reported new single-family home sales at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 685,000, up 6.2 percent from revised September numbers and 18.7 percent higher than a year ago. The median price of a new home in October was $312,800 while the average price of a new home was $400,200. The talking heads will no doubt see this as a boon for the housing industry, and the numbers are certainly encouraging. That being said, I wouldn't read too much into the volatile [...]

By |2022-01-05T03:41:12+00:00November 27th, 2017|Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton Tx New Homes, Development, DFW Home Prices, Economy, Existing Home Sales, Housing Market, In the Press, New Home Sales, Real Estate, Texas Home Prices, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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