Housing Market

Tariff Chaos Breeds Economic Uncertainty

Tariff chaos is breeeding economic uncertainty. That uncertainty is filtering into the housing market. While President Trump was busy talking up Liberation Day and his beautiful tariff plan, he forgot to tell you his plan involves liberating you from your 401K retirement account balance. A stock market correction was already in play before Trump's tariff plan hit the tape, but the announcement itself (or more accurately the insanity of the plan) really disappointed Wall Street. Instead of the reciprocal tariffs and a rebalancing of trade, the markets received one of the most inept and misguided [...]

Tariff Wars Hit the North Texas Housing Market

Tariff wars have filtered into the housing market in 2025. While many real estate industry participants were expecting a more friendly administration for business, so far we've experienced the complete opposite. Trump's sabre rattling and mercantilistic stance on foreign trade has upended the stock market and put a damper on the housing market. Not surprisingly, North Texas home sales remain stuck in the mud of volatility. Closed home sales across North Texas fell 5.8 percent year-over-year in February. Pending contracts decreased 6.9 percent. Denton County saw similar decreases in activity. Median and average home prices [...]

Denton County Real Estate Market Stagnation Continues

The stagnation continued for the Denton County real estate market in January. 2025 is not off to a great start. Home sales were up 3.8 percent from a year ago, but pending contracts were 7.8 percent lower compared to last year. Contract activity in the city of Denton fell 10 percent year-over year. Closed sales plummeted 23 percent. That was the lowest sales volume for the city since January of 2017. The combination of historically normal market interest rates combined with inflated home prices continues to be a toxic mix for the Denton County real [...]

Denton County Housing Market Perks Up

Denton County's housing market perked up in November. Post-election enthusiasm and renewed animal spirits helped push home sales up 10 percent. Median home prices jumped 2.2 percent year-over-year in November. Average prices rose even more, but the disconnect in the market continued. Wealthy property owners continue to skew the overall picture of the North Texas housing market. Area land prices are still grossly inflated. The housing market isn't nearly as healthy as many agents would have you believe. The jump in sales activity is certainly welcome, but it would be foolish (spelled intellectually dishonest) to [...]

North TX Housing Affordability Gets Crushed

North Texas housing affordability got crushed in October. The temporary relief of lower mortgage rates was just that. Mortgage rates bounced significantly following the Federal Reserve's September rate cut. Real market rates for traditional U.S. mortgages remain near the 7 percent mark following the election. The combination of real mortgage rates and continued high prices has proven to be a major challenge for the North Texas housing market. As rates and expectations cooled into the September FOMC meeting, available home inventory was beginnig to shrink. Denton County home sales jumped 10 percent from the previous [...]

Sharp Rebound in North Texas Home Inventory

North Texas home inventory has experienced a sharp rebound in 2024. The savagely unhealthy housing market and a buyers' strike have helped to replenish available housing stock this year. The key has been a dramatic turnaround in existing home inventory. Across the DFW area, existing home supply has rebounded sharply this year. Here's a county-level summary of the resale inventory increases in the Dallas-Fort Worth area through July 2024: Dallas County - Up 63.6% Year-over-Year (3.6 months of supply) Tarrant County - Up 59.1% (3.5 months of supply) Collin County - Up 69.6% (3.9 months [...]

Dallas TX Luxury Home Sales Go Parabolic

Luxury home sales were on rocket fuel last month in Dallas Texas. Sales of luxury homes price at a $1 million or more spiked 44 percent from May of last year. The average price of a Dallas home skyrocketed 21 percent year-over-year setting a new record high of $716,131. That's $124,000 higher than May of last year and $63,000 higher than the previous bubble peak of June 2022. While the Federal Reserve is still trying to shrink that bloated balances sheet, The U.S. Treasury department is still pumping out a lot of new debt issuance [...]

Rise In Inventory Boosts Home Sales

More home inventory helped push North Texas home sales into positive territory in April. North Texas saw a 5.5 percent increase in home sales compared to last year while Denton County experienced a 7.3 percent bump in closed transactions. The additional transaction activity was fueled by a 37 percent rise in available home inventory compared to last year. Inventory has been growing steadily for most of the year as 7 percent interest rates and a slowing economy worked to curtail demand in the housing market. Denton County now has 2.7 months of available home inventory. [...]

Luxury Homes & Land See Strong Demand

Luxury homes and land continue to see strong demand in North Texas. Expensive properties have been driving up nominal prices in North Texas for several months. March 2024 sales data shows average home prices in Denton County up 7.4 percent from last year. Before you get excited, most of the price appreciation over the last few months has been centered in the luxury home market and inflated land values. Zooming in to normal single-family homes between 1500-3500 square feet, average prices increased by 4.1 percent over the past year. In fact, the average price for [...]

Inventory & Affordability Issues Affecting Real Estate Market

Denton County's real estate market continues to struggle with inventory & affordability issues. While higher than last year, closed sales in North Texas were still hovering near a decade-low in January. Pending home sales in North Texas moved higher for the month, but pending sales contracts were still 10 percent lower-year over year in January. The temporary relief in mortgage rates during the last few months of 2023 translated into additional activity for the housing market. So far in 2024 housing activity remains sluggish. Mortgage rates are bouncing around between 6.5 and 7 percent. Inflation [...]

Go to Top