Lennar Homes Misses Q4 Sales & Order Estimates, KB Net Order Value Declines 21%

By |2019-01-09T22:03:51+00:00January 9th, 2019|Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate|

Lennar Homes posted higher revenue and income for the fourth quarter of 2018, but new home sales and orders for Lennar missed analyst estimates. Accounting for Lennar's absorption of CalAtlantic the company's 14,154 home sales still fell short of analyst estimates for 14,485. The bigger concern for Lennar is likely the 5 percent miss on orders which came in at 10,611 instead of the analyst estimate of 11,774. Lennar's gross margin on home sales for the quarter fell from 22.4% to 21.4% Operating margin softened to 13.5% Revenues for the quarter were bolstered by a [...]

Denton County Home Sales Continued Sliding In December

By |2019-01-09T14:02:24+00:00January 9th, 2019|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Relocation|

Denton County home sales continued their slide in December as the Dallas-Fort Worth real estate market saw a 5th consecutive month of year-over-year declining sales activity. Denton County experienced an 11 percent decline in closed home sales along with a corresponding 11 percent decline in pending home sales activity. The drop in forward-looking contract activity suggests that a spring housing rebound may be a tough proposition. Home prices were still rising in many DFW submarkets in December, including Denton Texas where the average price of a home rose 11 percent to $274,012. Looking at a [...]

Denton TX Rents End Year Slightly Lower, Leasing Activity Subdued

By |2019-01-07T12:01:37+00:00January 6th, 2019|Denton County Homes For Rent, Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Homes For Lease, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Homes For Lease, DFW Real Estate|

The average price of a single-family rental home in Denton  Texas was $1629 in December 2018. As the year came to a close single-family leasing activity was relatively flat compared to a year ago, with average prices that were slightly lower. Denton County experienced a 14 percent drop in leasing activity in December 2018, but prices were higher compared to last year. As the Dallas-Fort Worth real estate market enters 2019 in correction mode, it will be interesting to see how the residential lease market unfolds. For the time being average prices are still holding [...]

Hyper-Financialized DFW Housing Market Will Get Worse

By |2019-02-06T01:33:23+00:00December 29th, 2018|Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Pending Home Sales, Spin Cycle|

The National Association of Realtors reported pending home sales for November slid 7.7 percent compared to a year ago. Of course the headline you probably saw in the media was the 0.7 percent drop compared to October's decline in contract signings. With the stock market poised to finish one of the worst Decembers in recent memory, you can rest assured the hyper-financialized Dallas-Fort Worth housing market is going to get worse before it fully recovers. Chief economist, Lawrence Yun, attempted to diffuse concerns about sliding sales numbers in November in NAR's latest press release, but [...]

Dallas Fort Worth Real Estate Staring At Potential Bear Market

By |2018-12-27T17:34:31+00:00December 26th, 2018|Denton County Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Texas Real Estate|

The Dallas-Fort Worth real estate market is looking at a bear of a problem. After the worst Christmas-Eve trading session in history for U.S. stock markets, time is running out for the wise guys on Wall Street to save indices from entering bear market territory. Looking at home prices and sales volumes in the DFW area, it would seem things are still running along fairly normally; however, it could be a mistake to assume the recent softness in home sales is just a blip in an otherwise stabilizing market. We could easily see a rally into [...]

Powell Continues FOMC’s Legacy Of Serial Arsonists

By |2018-12-20T21:07:52+00:00December 20th, 2018|Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Education, Housing Market, Housing Policy|

The Federal Reserve FOMC announced another Federal Funds rate hike, raising the target rate to 2.5 percent. That was widely anticipated. What the market did not like was a less-than dovish stance from Jerome Powell and his merry band of serial arsonists, as he stuck to the script that everything is awesome in the land of milk and honey. Aside from the drop in 10-year Treasury yields, there are important ramifications for the real estate market as the failures of Federal Reserve policy, and the consequences that come with it, become increasingly evident. Make no [...]

U.S. Existing Home Sales Down Seven Percent In November

By |2018-12-20T09:54:54+00:00December 19th, 2018|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Existing Home Sales, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Markets, Mortgage Rates|

The National Association of Realtors reported existing home sales for November at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 5.32 million. This was up slightly from October but still down seven percent compared to the same time last year. The spike in mortgage interest rates was still lingering over the real estate market in November. The median price of an existing home sold in November was $257,700 in November, a rise of 4.2 percent year-over-year and the 81st consecutive month of year-over-year home price increases. The average price of an existing home sold in November [...]

Trendmaker Homes Comes To Dallas Via TRI Pointe Acquisition of Dunhill

By |2018-12-13T11:32:34+00:00December 13th, 2018|Dallas TX Real Estate, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Development, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, In the Press, Markets, Texas Real Estate|

California based TRI Pointe Group is expanding its Texas footprint by purchasing Dallas-based Dunhill Homes for a reported $60 million. Dunhill Homes operates in the Dallas-Fort Worth market under the Dunhill and Nathan Carlisle Homes brands. Effective January 1st, Dunhill will begin operating under the Trendmaker Homes brand. Trendmaker Homes was previously part of Weyerhaeuer before the Houston area builder was acquired by TRI Pointe several years ago. Trendmaker builds a number of affordable luxury homes in the Houston and Austin markets. With the absorption of Dunhill Homes, TRI Point will acquire Dunhill's assets, and [...]

Denton County Home Prices Drop As DFW Sees Worst Sales In 7 Years

By |2018-12-13T00:29:48+00:00December 11th, 2018|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Housing Market, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Relocation, Texas Real Estate|

Denton County home prices slid 2 percent in November as the DFW housing market experienced the worst sales decline in 7 years. The good news is that the sales volume estimates in the official press releases are now more reflective of reality. The bad news is that actual home sales in Dallas-Fort Worth are still rather soft. Home sales in Denton County dropped 9 percent in November, in line with the 8 percent decline seen for DFW. Pending home sales in Denton County slid 3 percent compared to the same time a year ago, slightly [...]

Yield Curve Inversion And Denton County Real Estate Prices

By |2018-12-10T00:37:34+00:00December 7th, 2018|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate|

With renewed talk of yield curve inversion during the past week Denton County real estate prices are going to be interesting to watch. Some people are wondering how low the Federal Reserve's balance sheet will go as the try to unwind/reverse years of quantitative easing. As I was commenting earlier this morning, that balance sheet probably won't go as low as Fed officials originally planned. For all of the collective PhD economic talent employed at the Fed, they still can’t forecast their way out of a paper bag. The Fed has barely rolled off 10 [...]