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Stagnating Home Sales, Mortgage Rates & Job Growth But The Fed Only Has Eyes For Wall Street

By |2019-07-20T19:47:45+00:00June 7th, 2019|Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Policy, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Politics, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|

Home sales are stagnating, mortgage rates are falling and job growth is now waning. What's not to love? Today's nonfarm payrolls report was a resounding thud with only 75,000 jobs added in May. Previous months were revised downward as well. Everywhere you look, cracks are beginning to appear in the carefully varnished edifice the Federal Reserve likes to call an economy. Maybe this is why there were 13 Federal Reserve officials hitting the airwaves this week to talk up their most favored metric of economic validation, the U.S. stock market. Earlier in the week we [...]

Denton County Employment Growth Still Solid, Why Are Home Sales Stagnating?

By |2019-06-02T20:26:37+00:00May 31st, 2019|Dallas Tx Employment, Denton County Employment, Denton County Relocation, DFW Employment, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Education, Housing Market, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Pending Home Sales, Politics, Relocation, Texas Real Estate|

Denton County employment growth is still humming along. The Dallas-Fort Worth area continues to add jobs. Even with the job growth, home price gains in the DFW area continue to slow. This is confirmed in the recent numbers from Case-Shiller. Along with many professional PhD economists, the Case-Shiller committee seems to be puzzled that the housing market isn't firing on all cylinders given the recent plunge in mortgage interest rates. "Given the broader economic picture, housing should be doing better." Even Freddie Mac's deputy chief economist seems to be perplexed that the housing market isn't [...]

New Home Sales Jump 7 Percent In April But Momentum Is Fading

By |2019-05-28T11:26:44+00:00May 23rd, 2019|Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Existing Home Sales, Housing Policy, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales, Politics, Regulation, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|

The Census Bureau reported new home sales in April which rose 7 percent compared to the same time a year ago. Sales (contract signings) for April posted at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 673,000 units. This was close to expectations, but interestingly the April figure represented a rather large 7 percent drop from revised March numbers. The sales numbers for the previous three months were revised higher. The median price of a new home rose in April to $342,200, while the average price of a new home contracted in April rose to $393700. This [...]

Existing Home Sales Decline For 14th Consecutive Month

By |2019-05-21T19:43:44+00:00May 21st, 2019|Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Existing Home Sales, Mortgage Rates, Spin Cycle|

The National Association of Realtors reported existing home sales for April which came in short of expectations. Existing sales in April posted at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.19 million units. This was 0.4 percent lower than March and 4.4 percent lower than April of 2018. According to NAR the median price of an existing home rose 3.6% in April to $267,300. The average price of an existing home in the U.S. rose 2.5% to $305,200. The inventory of existing homes for sale in April stood at 4.2 months, up 5% from a year [...]

Dallas Morning News Misses Glaring Example Of Appraisal Fraud Right Under Their Noses

By |2019-05-19T23:22:27+00:00May 19th, 2019|Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Housing Policy, Politics, Spin Cycle, Texas Property Taxes, Texas Real Estate|

The company selling the 'Rock of Truth' campus just missed a glaring example of appraisal fraud right under their noses. Belo Corp reportedly just sold the old Dallas Morning News downtown campus at 508 Young Street for $28 million. The 325,000 square-foot campus includes two buildings and a parking garage on roughly 8 acres. That 8 acre site happens to be one of the largest redevelopment sites in downtown Dallas Texas. The former campus of Dallas' largest newspaper was purchased by Ray Washburne, a local developer who owns Charter Holdings. Washburne also bought a shopping [...]

Home Builder Confidence Not Confirmed By Housing Starts & Permits Data

By |2019-05-17T11:15:05+00:00May 16th, 2019|Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Mortgage Rates, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|

This week the National Association of Home Builders reported improved confidence and business conditions among new home builders. With the big drop in mortgage interest rates, builders have been enjoying solid sales so far in 2019. NAHB chairman, Greg Ugalde, even said as much... “Builders are busy catching up after a wet winter and many characterize sales as solid, driven by improved demand and ongoing low overall supply...However, affordability challenges persist and remain a big impediment to stronger sales.” With mortgage rates just above 4 percent, the year-over-year interest rate comparisons are very favorable for [...]

Texas Realtors Pay Over $6 Million For Bogus Research At A&M RECenter

By |2019-05-14T15:52:53+00:00May 14th, 2019|Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Housing Policy, Politics, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|

"The first rule of fight club is: You do not talk about fight club." Texas Realtors continue to throw money at bogus research at the Texas A&M Real Estate Center. Many Texas Realtors probably don't even know that a portion of their annual licensing dues goes to pay the salaries of the staff at the RECenter. Many are probably unaware of how they are being shortchanged by this Texas institution which is still partnering with the Federal Reserve when it comes to economic research. That is a shame, because the garbage being produced by the [...]

Denton County Home Sales Continue Spring Rebound In April

By |2019-05-31T12:13:13+00:00May 9th, 2019|Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Mortgage Rates, Relocation|

Denton County home sales enjoyed a continued spring rebound in April as low mortgage rates fueled strong demand for new homes and improved affordability for prospective buyers. Home sales in Denton County jumped 7 percent from the same time last year, better than the 3 percent gain seen in the DFW area during April. The average price of a Denton County home declined just slightly in April to roughly $358,000. Closings of new construction rose 13 percent while sales of used homes improved 6 percent. Home sales in the City of Denton rose about 2 [...]

Texas Property Tax System Collapsing Under Its Own Fraud

By |2019-05-23T22:19:53+00:00May 6th, 2019|Denton County Property Taxes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Property Taxes, DFW Real Estate, Politics, Spin Cycle, Texas Property Taxes|

As appraisal districts across the state of Texas put the screws to homeowners this summer, some interesting things are happening behind the scenes in the operationally corrupt system known as uniform and equal appraisal. The predators are starting to eat each other as the system comes unglued. I am not surprised this is happening. It's something I fully expected because the Texas property tax system is mired in conflicts of interest and dysfunction, rotten to its very core. "It's difficult to get a man to understand something when his salary depends upon his not understanding [...]

DFW Contract Activity Cools In April As Stimulus From Lower Rates Fades

By |2019-07-20T19:50:33+00:00May 1st, 2019|Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Policy, Mortgage Rates, Politics, Spin Cycle|

DFW contract activity faded in April. Looking at the preliminary sales data for North Texas, it is apparent that the stimulus from the big drop in mortgage rates has run its course. It will be another week or so before we get the official press release numbers, but the data is telling. April was another good month for home sales. Actual closings for home sales showed a robust real estate market in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, but contract signings were another matter. Preliminary sales data indicate that the DFW real estate market is peaking prematurely [...]