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Denton County Home Buyers Front-Run Rate Hikes Sending Prices Soaring

By |2022-04-14T14:54:28+00:00April 12th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Rent, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Lease, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|

Fear of missing out (FOMO) was the theme last month in Denton County Texas as home buyers behaved like irrational humans often do. Buyers jumped into the local housing market front-running the coming Federal Reserve rate hikes. Home prices shattered records as a result. The median price of home rose 25.3% year-over-year to a record $464,000. Average prices rose 23.6% to a record high $554,098. Closed sales were roughly flat compared to last year. That's a testament to how frenzied the activity was given the current backdrop of spiraling interest rates. Pending sales (contracts) fell 10 [...]

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Mortgage Rates Breach 5% Mark After Brainard Speech

By |2022-04-06T11:47:53+00:00April 5th, 2022|Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Markets, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|

U.S. mortgage rates breached the critical 5 percent level today. Prepared remarks from FOMC dove Lael Brainard spooked the markets into a tailspin sending yields on the 10-year Treasury above 2.56 percent. Average mortgage interest rates quoted from Mortgage News Daily spiked to 5.02 percent. This is the first time rates have been this high since 2018. You may remember that the fourth quarter of 2018 also saw the stock market and real estate markets come unglued before the Fed stepped in to intervene. Unfortunately for real estate bulls, this time is different. Instead of [...]

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New Home Sales Begin Slide As Interest Rates Rise

By |2022-03-23T18:47:44+00:00March 23rd, 2022|Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate|

New home sales are beginning to slide as rising rates clamp down on the housing market euphoria. The Census Bureau reported February new home sales at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 772,000 units. That's a 2 percent slide from January and down 6.2 percent from last year. The unadjusted February sales estimate shows 65,000 new homes sold. That translates to a 7 percent slide year-over-year. The median price of a new home came in at $400,600. The average price posted at $511,000, a new record high for the series. It's interesting to note [...]

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Media Narrative on Housing Shortage is Comically Absurd

By |2022-03-22T01:23:54+00:00March 21st, 2022|Denton County Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Education, Housing Policy, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle|

The current media narrative on the U.S. housing shortage is comically absurd misdirection. Numerous experts in the industry continue to float the same tired narratives and misdirection while media mouthpieces nod in agreement. It's truly sad to watch. News segments offering up explanations of our housing affordability crisis look more like industry infomercials. According the Wall Street arm of the housing industry renting is the new American dream. Wall Street predators are just filling the gap, providing much-needed housing in a time of need. Just a few days ago our local CBS affiliate ran this [...]

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Collateral Damage Coming to the North Texas Housing Market

By |2022-03-17T14:46:55+00:00March 10th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate|

Collateral damage in the North Texas housing market is beginning to reveal itself. Inflation is at a fresh 40-year high. Homes have never been more expensive, and interest rates are on the rise. Official consumer price inflation just printed at an annual pace of 7.9 percent. This is with many of the official CPI metrics understating actual inflation. This is also before the spike in global energy markets with the tragedy unfolding in Ukraine. While many housing industry pundits were clinging to the slight drop in mortgage rates last week, that blip is now a [...]

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New Home Sales Fall as Rising Rates Temper Demand

By |2022-02-25T12:37:03+00:00February 24th, 2022|Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|

New home sales fell in January to a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 801,000 units. The previous three months were revised higher. Census Bureau estimates put new home sales 4.5 percent below the revised December numbers. New home sales were 19.3 percent lower than January of last year. The median price of a new home contracted in January was $423,300. The average sales price of a new home posted at $496,900. That was a new all-time high. Median and average new home prices both hit new record highs in North Texas in January. On [...]

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North Texas Housing Market Correction Taking Shape

By |2022-02-17T16:37:36+00:00February 10th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Rent, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Property Taxes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Property Taxes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Market, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|

A housing market correction is coming to North Texas. Don't say you weren't warned. The data points have been piling up for months. The only question remaining is how this all plays out, or more specifically how much pain the Fed is willing to tolerate. Inflation Rages Today's headline print for CPI inflation came in at a red-hot 7.5%. Despite many experts' assumptions that inflation would be moderating, core inflation has actually been increasing in each of the last three month's readings from the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Jerome Powell and the FOMC decided to [...]

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First Phase of Cole Ranch Taking Shape in Denton

By |2022-01-30T20:51:27+00:00January 30th, 2022|Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, Development, Housing Market|

The first phase of the Cole Ranch development is taking shape in the southwest side of Denton. Hillwood Communities has been working on the project that will turn the former Hunter Ranch and Cole Rach in to a huge 3200-acre master-planned development with roughly 6000 homes. The initial plat of phase I of the project shows over 600 homes on tap. Those homes should be arriving as available inventory in early 2024. "Preliminary plans call for 663 single family lots, 48 townhome lots, 1 multifamily lot, 7 mixed-use regional lots, and 1 light industrial lot. [...]

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New Home Sales Rise in December, But Headwinds Mounting

By |2022-01-26T23:54:42+00:00January 26th, 2022|Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Monetary Policy, New Home Sales, Politics, Spin Cycle|

New home sales were a bit better than expected in December. The Census Bureau reported new home sales at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 811,000 units. Previous months were revised lower. The median price of new home came in at $377,700. The average price of new construction contracted in December was $457,300. New home sales are still suffering from supply constraints. Completed inventory remains very low while the number of units technically for sale remains very high. Looking at unadjusted numbers out of the 408,000 homes "for sale" at the end of December [...]

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North Texas Real Estate Shatters Records, Before The Fed Pulls the Rug

By |2022-01-22T12:47:35+00:00January 10th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Rent, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Lease, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Market, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|

North Texas real estate shattered a number of records as we closed out the year. December saw record home prices in December as the Federal Reserve continued to pump asset prices. Available home inventory in the Dallas-Fort Worth area dipped to new record lows. Investors, speculators and other home buyers were busy fighting over the dwindling pool of properties available for for sale. The number of homes for sale in North Texas slipped to roughly 11,400 in December. There would be about 30,000 homes for sale in the DFW area under normal conditions. At the [...]

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