DFW Home Prices

Denton County New Home Prices Break Records with Fed’s Inflationary Pump

Denton County new home prices broke new records last month, responding to the Fed's massive $7.92 trillion bubble-blowing balance sheet. While the Federal Reserve continues $120 billion per month in asset purchases ($80 billion in Treasuries and $40 billion in MBS), average new home prices in Denton County hit $477,587. That was a 27.4% jump from the same time a year ago. New home prices have been skyrocketing higher this year as available new home inventory has all but vanished. Closed sales of new construction in Denton County plummeted 30 percent in April. Pending sales [...]

North Texas Home Prices Defy Fed’s Transitory Narrative

North Texas home prices continue to defy the Fed's transitory narrative. While Jerome Powell and various FOMC officials waffle back and forth on continued stimulus, DFW homes are becoming more unaffordable. NTREIS figures for April show the median price of a DFW home jumping 17.4 percent to a record $317,000. The average price of a North Texas home hit a new record of $397,582. That was a jump of 26.8 percent from the same time a year ago. Those numbers make a mockery of Powell's ridiculous 2 percent inflation targets over the longer term. Home [...]

Powell Inflating the Housing Market with Fed MBS Purchases

Pinocchio Powell has no answer as to why the Federal Reserve is still inflating the housing market with MBS purchases to the tune of $40 billion per month. Despite a ridiculously overheated housing market with no inventory and double-digit price increases the Federal Reserve is going to continue the purchase of mortgage-backed-securities.  The latest FOMC statement and press conference just confirmed more of the same from the Powell Fed. "Overall financial conditions remain accommodative, in part reflecting policy measures to support the economy and the flow of credit to U.S. households and businesses. The path [...]

New Home Sales Rise in March with Continued Fed Stimulus

New home sales continued at a solid pace in March as the Fed poured more stimulus into the markets. The Census Bureau reported new home sales for March at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1,021,000. According to Census figures the median price of a new home rose to $330,800. The average price of a new home hit $397,800. The supply of new homes fell to 3.6 months. Stripping out the adjustments, the inventory situation is much worse than that. Inventory under construction is near normal levels, but completed inventory is at record lows. Massive [...]

Insanity – Denton County Home Prices Go Parabolic

Denton County home prices went parabolic in March. The median price of a Denton County home rose 16 percent from March of last year. Average prices rose 23.5 percent to a new record of $448,566. The number of homes listed for sale in Denton County crashed 71 percent to only 976 properties. That translates to just 0.7 months of inventory at the current pace of sales. The March figures for closed sales show a 10 percent decrease from a year ago. That's despite a relatively easy year-over-year comparison when Covid put the brakes on the [...]

New Home Sales Soften With Higher Rates and Prices

New home sales softened in February with higher interest rates and record high prices. It didn't help that many markets in the U.S. are still sitting on record low inventories. The Census Bureau reported new home sales for the month of February at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 775,000 units. That was well below forecasts, but previous months were revised higher. The median price of a new house sold in February 2021 was $349,400. The average sales price of a new home reached a new record high of $416,000. Combine those high prices and [...]

North Texas Home Sales Hit A Wall As Inventory Dries Up

North Texas home sales hit a wall in February as inventory available in the market dried up across the Dallas-Fort Worth area. The Fed-fueled mania gripping the local real estate market is now left searching for support at grossly distorted levels. North Texas home sales declined by 6 percent compared to February of last year. Pending home sales fell 13 percent. The supply of homes available for sale has never been lower according to NTREIS statistics going back 20 years. Inventory in the DFW area now stands at a single month of supply at the [...]

New Home Sales Exceed Expectations With Powell Priming The Pump

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for January at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 923,000 units. That's a 4.3 percent increase from revised December figures and 19.3 percent higher than January of last year. Previous months were also revised higher. The median price of a new home came in at $346,400. The average price of a new home contracted in January was $408,800. That's a new record high for average new home prices in the U.S....in January. The supply of new homes available for sale dipped to 4.0 months. New home sales in [...]

Denton County Housing Market Now Dependent On Fed Liquidity

The Denton County housing market is now a dependent of the Fed. Over 3 $trillion in quantitative easing has ramped home prices to record highs while driving inventory to record lows. North Texas housing no longer resembles a normal market. Borrowers can now be in COVID mortgage forbearance for up to 15 months while the Fed is busy blowing another massive asset bubble. The American Enterprise Institute has called out the Federal Reserve for blatantly distorting the housing market, but the Fed is still flooding the system with liquidity. Some FOMC officials are calling for [...]

AEI: The Fed is Misdiagnosing Monetary Policy’s Effect on the Housing Market

The American Enterprise Institute is taking the Federal Reserve to task for its bubble-blowing monetary policy. The AEI' latest report on housing market indicators is a wonderful composition detailing how Federal Reserve monetary policy has fueled massive home price appreciation and speculation in the the U.S. housing market. It's refreshing to see that others calling the Powell Fed out for blatantly obvious asset price distortions. With Powell continuing the denial and misdirection, the problems are likely to get worse before they get better. I would encourage you to read the entire AEI Housing Center report [...]

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