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North Texas Housing Market Stalls with Eight Percent Rates

The North Texas housing market continued to cool with mortgage rates rising to eight percent in October. Closed sales in Denton County fell 9 percent from a year ago. Pending contracts slid 2 percent. Inventory remained steady at 2.5 months of supply. Percent of list and days on market were relatively unchanged. Median home prices in Denton County slid to $450,000 in October, down 1.3% from a year ago. Average prices cooled as well, sliding to $538,063. Prices have cooled for 3 months in a row. It's not just normal seasonality at play. Higher mortgage [...]

By |2024-08-13T11:13:33+00:00November 10th, 2023|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Realtor, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Market, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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Denton County Real Estate Market Running Out of Steam

Denton County real estate was running out of steam in September. New cycle highs for mortgage rates and more typical seasonality took a bite out of demand. Sales volume dropped 9 percent compared to the same month a year ago. Pending contract activity fell by a similar amount. Median and average home prices are now lower than where they stood in April. Median prices are still $40,000 lower than where they topped out in the frenzy of 2022. New home builders continued to pull in an outsized portion of sales in September. They are doing [...]

By |2024-08-13T11:17:10+00:00October 11th, 2023|Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Realtor, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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New Highs For Mortgage Rates Curb Denton County’s Real Estate Market

Denton County's real estate market ran into significant hurdles in August. Mortgage interest rates for prospective buyers reached a new high for the cycle. That took a bite out of sales activity as the summer winded down. Closed sales in Denton County fell ten percent form the same time last year. Forward-looking contract activity slid 5 percent. Median and average home prices also cooled for second consecutive month. One thing that didn't cool in August was the incentives and mortgage-rate buydowns offered by new home builders. New home builders are agnostic sellers. They do what [...]

By |2024-08-13T11:18:05+00:00September 11th, 2023|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Realtor, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation|0 Comments
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Denton County House Payments Hit Record Highs

Denton County house payments hit record highs in July. Prospective home buyers continued to get pinched by higher mortgage rates and the rebound in North Texas home prices through the first half of the year. As mortgage rates mushroomed back toward 7 percent, area house payments have soared for buyers using a market rate mortgage. Median home prices came in at $475,000 for the month of July. The median house payment for Denton County buyers factoring in the rise in interest rates translates to a principal and interest payment of over $2500 per month. That's [...]

By |2024-08-13T11:18:46+00:00August 11th, 2023|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Realtor, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate|0 Comments
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Denton County Home Prices Fail To Recapture 2022 Peak

Denton County home prices have so far failed to recapture their 2022 highs. Official NTREIS stats show median home prices in Denton County Texas were 7 percent ($35,000) lower than May of last year. Average prices were down 6.8 percent ($40,000) year-over year. Home sales in the area were down 3.9 percent from this time last year. Stagnant sales volumes remain a theme with 6 and 7 percent interest rates taking a bite out of affordability for many prospective buyers. Pending contracts in Denton County were 7 percent lower year-over-year in May. Available home inventory [...]

By |2024-08-13T11:21:08+00:00June 11th, 2023|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County Property Taxes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Realtor, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates, Politics|0 Comments
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Denton County Home Prices Bounce, But Still Lower Than a Year Ago

The Denton County and North Texas housing market continued to bounce in April. Median home prices were up over $40,000 from January, but still down 1.6 percent from April of last year. The ridiculous bubble from the spring of 2022 continues to make for tough year-over-year comparisons. Thin resale inventory and higher prices are still taking a toll on sales. Closed sales in Denton County were down 8 percent from a year ago, while pending contracts were 5 percent lower. With the tighter conditions this spring average days on market fell to 51 days. Average [...]

By |2024-08-13T11:22:01+00:00May 11th, 2023|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Rent, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Property Taxes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Realtor, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Property Taxes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Lease, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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Real Estate Market Bounces as Banking Crisis Fades

The real estate market bounced in March as turmoil in the banking sector subsided. Denton County home sales nearly doubled from the January lows, putting sales up 13 percent from a year ago. Pending contract edged up as well, placing contract activity 10 percent higher than March of last year. Some context is in order here since activity is still light compared to historical trend. This is largely due to diminished inventory levels. Denton County was still sitting on 1.8 months of supply in March. That's down from the 2.9 months we saw in October [...]

By |2024-08-13T11:23:01+00:00April 10th, 2023|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Realtor, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Employment, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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North Texas Housing Market Looks to Fed for Signs of Relief

The North Texas housing market continues to hope for a soft landing by the Fed. Agents and market participants continue to front-run a Fed pivot that hasn't happened. There are plenty of people in the real estate industry who want and need lower rates to bolster their business. Many of these same people are agents and levered speculators who feasted on the $trillions in stimulus that drove the markets to their bubble highs. Fortunately cooler heads are currently driving policy. Normalization in the housing market continues to trim some of the froth from the housing [...]

By |2024-08-13T11:25:28+00:00January 9th, 2023|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Realtor, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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New Home Inventory Continues Rebound in North Texas

New home inventory continues to rebound in North Texas. The supply of available new construction inventory experienced a sharp decline coming out of the pandemic. It rebounded sharply this year with the demand crush from the Federal Reserve and a doubling of mortgage rates. The Census Bureau reported new home sales for November at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 640,000 units. Sales for the previous months were revised down sharply. New home inventory posted at 8.6 months of supply according to Census. The Census sales numbers will continue to be noisy and overstated as [...]

By |2022-12-24T14:14:14+00:00December 24th, 2022|Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Development, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales, Pending Home Sales|0 Comments
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Demand Destruction Hitting Denton County Housing Market

Demand destruction continues to hit the Denton County housing market. The Federal Reserve's housing reset and tighter policy led to a 28 percent slide in home sales in November. Pending contracts for homes were down 24 percent from the same time a year ago. In reality sales numbers are softer than official estimates. We still have another 6 months or so before we'll see more accurate comparisons on sales totals with new construction sales consistently in the MLS. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association mortgage purchase applications are still running about 40 percent lower than [...]

By |2022-12-13T15:43:41+00:00December 11th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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Aaron Layman Realtor Denton County Texas Questions? Call me now at
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