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North Texas Home Prices Defy Fed’s Transitory Narrative

North Texas home prices continue to defy the Fed's transitory narrative. While Jerome Powell and various FOMC officials waffle back and forth on continued stimulus, DFW homes are becoming more unaffordable. NTREIS figures for April show the median price of a DFW home jumping 17.4 percent to a record $317,000. The average price of a North Texas home hit a new record of $397,582. That was a jump of 26.8 percent from the same time a year ago. Those numbers make a mockery of Powell's ridiculous 2 percent inflation targets over the longer term. Home [...]

Insanity – Denton County Home Prices Go Parabolic

Denton County home prices went parabolic in March. The median price of a Denton County home rose 16 percent from March of last year. Average prices rose 23.5 percent to a new record of $448,566. The number of homes listed for sale in Denton County crashed 71 percent to only 976 properties. That translates to just 0.7 months of inventory at the current pace of sales. The March figures for closed sales show a 10 percent decrease from a year ago. That's despite a relatively easy year-over-year comparison when Covid put the brakes on the [...]

North Texas Home Sales Hit A Wall As Inventory Dries Up

North Texas home sales hit a wall in February as inventory available in the market dried up across the Dallas-Fort Worth area. The Fed-fueled mania gripping the local real estate market is now left searching for support at grossly distorted levels. North Texas home sales declined by 6 percent compared to February of last year. Pending home sales fell 13 percent. The supply of homes available for sale has never been lower according to NTREIS statistics going back 20 years. Inventory in the DFW area now stands at a single month of supply at the [...]

Denton County Housing Market Now Dependent On Fed Liquidity

The Denton County housing market is now a dependent of the Fed. Over 3 $trillion in quantitative easing has ramped home prices to record highs while driving inventory to record lows. North Texas housing no longer resembles a normal market. Borrowers can now be in COVID mortgage forbearance for up to 15 months while the Fed is busy blowing another massive asset bubble. The American Enterprise Institute has called out the Federal Reserve for blatantly distorting the housing market, but the Fed is still flooding the system with liquidity. Some FOMC officials are calling for [...]

North Texas Housing Bubble Gasping For Air

The North Texas housing bubble was gasping for air in December. Inventory continued to dry up across the Dallas Fort Worth market, helping to push median and average home prices up 9.7 percent and 12.3 percent respectively. Prices on a per square foot basis hit fresh new highs in North Texas as 2020 came to a close. Ironically we saw a bevy of Federal Reserve officials calling for more inflation in the economy last week while home prices were posting double-digit year-over-year gains. North Texas home sales were up 16 percent from December of 2019. [...]

North Texas Home Prices Hit New Highs In Fed-Fueled Market Frenzy

The Fed-fueled housing boom of 2020 is still gripping North Texas. Median and average prices in the DFW area were up 13.1 percent and 15.5 percent respectively in November. Everyone moderately attached to central bank liquidity has been busy buying up assets. Denton home prices defied normal seasonal trends last month. Median prices in the city of Denton were up 6.1% compared to last year, while average prices hit a new record high of $315,590. That translates to a 13.4% increase from November of last year. Denton County saw similar home price gains with median [...]

Home Prices Soar As Denton County Home Inventory Bottoms

Home prices soared again last month as Denton County home inventory appears to have bottomed at record lows. Updated data show 1.3 months of supply in Denton County and just 1.7 months of home supply in the DFW market. With inventory running on fumes, median and average prices in Denton County climbed 9.9 percent and 9.5 percent respectively. North Texas saw home price gains of 12.4 percent and 14.8 percent compared to a year ago as the average price of a DFW home eclipsed $360,000. The reflation trade in the real estate market looks to [...]

North Texas Home Sales Defy Economic Stagnation

North Texas home sales continued to defy economic stagnation in September. NTREIS data reflect a 24 percent rise in home sales in the DFW area last month. Pending sales look to be up by 17 percent. The median price of a DFW home jumped 10.3 percent compared to a year ago. Average prices climbed 13.4 percent. Months of inventory plummeted 46 percent to just 1.9 months of supply. Denton County home sales skyrocketed 30 percent with pending sales up 18 percent. The median price of a Denton County home jumped 7.8 percent while average prices [...]

North Texas Real Estate Market Partying Like It’s 1999

The North Texas real estate market continued to ramp higher in August. Median home prices in Denton County jumped 6.3 percent last month, with average prices rising 7.4 percent compared to a year ago. Denton County home sales increased 10 percent, while pending sales for Denton County homes shot 33 percent. Home buyers are still riding that wave of liquidity, and who can blame them. Mortgage rates just hit a new record low in the latest weekly survey, with the rate on the 30-year fixed dropping to 2.86 percent. Those low rates helped push North [...]

Corona Hangover Coming To The North Texas Housing Market

A corona hangover is coming to the North Texas housing market. It's not a question of if, but when. Texas posted a 3rd consecutive daily record yesterday for Covid-19 fatalities, and the 2nd wave of the coronavirus has put the reopening of the Texas economy on hold. The fall opening of schools and universities is becoming more problematic by the day. Anxiety is a now common theme because there are few good choices available when leaders at the Federal and state level have failed us in so many ways. North Texas home sales rebounded sharply [...]

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