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DFW Real Estate

Denton County Existing Home Sales Decline 11% In October

Denton County existing home sales declined 11 percent in the month of October. Sales of existing single-family homes were a bit softer still. Pending sales of existing resale single-family properties in Denton County currently show an 18 percent decline for October.  These updated NTREIS figures for Denton County Texas show that the correction in the North Texas real estate market is still in play. We are nearing the end of the month following the official press release, so don't expect any significant improvements to the numbers. As I mentioned in my October housing market report, [...]

By |2019-07-20T19:50:55+00:00November 22nd, 2018|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, Existing Home Sales, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Dallas Fort Worth Employment Growth Solid, Wage Growth Still Lags Real Inflation

Dallas-Fort Worth employment continues to grow, but wage growth is nothing to write home about. The Texas unemployment rate (at least the statistically massaged headline unemployment rate) hit an historic low in October at 3.7 percent. Dallas Fort Worth job growth was still impressive through October according to the latest data from the Texas Workforce Commission. According to the latest numbers there were 3,803,500 people working in the DFW area bringing the unemployment rate for Dallas to 3.2 percent. According to the latest data, Texas has experienced 28 consecutive months of employment growth. This is [...]

By |2018-11-17T21:04:52+00:00November 17th, 2018|Dallas Tx Employment, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Relocation|0 Comments
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Jerome Powell Visits Dallas Fed – Global Perspectives In Oblivion

Federal Reserve chair, Jerome Powell, visited the Dallas Federal Reserve yesterday to cap the Dallas bank's Global Perspectives series. Aside from pontificating about global economic perspectives, the meeting between Robert Kaplan and Jerome Powell was insightful for many reasons. Kaplan reminded the audience of Powell's policy experience which includes time as partner at private equity firm the Carlyle Group. Listening to a Goldman Sachs alum toss softball questions to a Carlyle alum is one way, I suppose, to placate a concerned public that the economy is still healthy and the Fed is on the ball, [...]

By |2022-01-05T03:36:55+00:00November 15th, 2018|Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle|1 Comment
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Beazer Homes Soars On Short Squeeze, Share Repurchase Plan

Beazer Homes shares soared roughly 30 percent in a single day after the Atlanta-based homebuilder reported fourth quarter and full fiscal year results on Tuesday. From the reaction of the stock yesterday, you would think Beazer had patented a new home construction process or something else miraculous. Obviously something was thrilling investors, because it wasn't demand for Beazer homes in the fourth quarter, which fell according to the company's press release. According to Beazer, unit orders during the fourth quarter fell 0.8 percent to 1305 homes. Beazer's homebuilding revenues rose 14 percent for the fourth [...]

By |2022-08-06T13:41:05+00:00November 14th, 2018|Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, Development, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, Markets, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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High Prices, Higher Rates Stall Dallas Fort Worth New Home Market

High prices and higher rates are hammering the Dallas-Fort Worth new home market. Starts from new home builders are now expected to increase by only a few hundred homes next year. I am not surprised. I covered this development a few days ago in my post on DR Horton's fourth quarter results, but a recent piece in the Dallas Morning News citing an industry insider/expert highlights the failure of local media to report on what is actually happening. My October housing market report for the DFW area explains why the correction in the local real estate [...]

By |2018-11-11T13:25:58+00:00November 11th, 2018|Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, Development, DFW Home Prices, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales, Spin Cycle, Video|0 Comments
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Denton County Home Sales Continue Sliding In October

Denton County Texas home sales continued to slide in October as the real estate market softened throughout the Dallas-Fort Worth area. Closed sales in Denton County fell roughly 8 percent for the month of October compared to last year. This is slightly worse than the 6% sales decline for the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area. Pending single-family home sales in the Denton County area were down about 14 percent for the month of October as the stock market swoon also hit the local housing sector. The official statistical estimate of a 9 percent pending sales decline [...]

By |2021-07-05T13:47:18+00:00November 9th, 2018|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Relocation, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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DR Horton Posts Higher Sales And Orders On Lower Average Prices

Dallas-Fort Worth-based DR Horton released fourth quarter numbers showing an 11 percent increase in home closings for the latest three months ending September 30. The company also posted a 11 percent jump in new net sales orders for the fiscal fourth quarter. With 51,857 homes sold during the past year, DR Horton still edges out Lennar as the country's largest home builder by volume. While DR Horton posted solid results on new home sales and profitability in the latest quarter, the housing slowdown is still evident digging into the company's latest numbers. In the midst [...]

By |2021-07-05T13:47:45+00:00November 8th, 2018|Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, Economy, In the Press, Markets, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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LGI Homes Stock Nosedives As Q3 Sales Decline 7.4% With Higher Community Count

Woodlands based LGI Homes posted third quarter results that didn't impress the market. Home closings fell 7.4% in the latest quarter. More concerning is that LGI's sales decline occurred as the community count increased from 77 to 81. As I have detailed for much of the year, publicly-traded home builders are struggling to match the shift in consumer demand toward less expensive homes. As their order growth has stalled with higher mortgage rates, builder stock prices have suffered. LGI's problems are more complex. I suspect that LGI's problems go beyond just average prices. LGI already builds [...]

By |2022-08-06T13:41:28+00:00November 6th, 2018|Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, Development, DFW Real Estate|0 Comments
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High End Dallas-Fort Worth Real Estate Could Get Crushed

As I detailed yesterday, the Dallas-Fort Worth real estate market fell out of bed last month. With pending home sales registered to post some of the worst numbers in years and inventory marching higher across the Dallas Fort Worth area, it is painfully clear that that the real economy in the DFW area is more fragile than the sell-side pundits would have us believe. I'm not surprised, because I cover the hype and spin in the real estate sector regularly on this blog. In a recent interview with Bloomberg, 'Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb specifically [...]

By |2020-03-28T14:49:20+00:00November 5th, 2018|DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Spin Cycle, Video|1 Comment
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October Swoon Suggests Denton County Real Estate Market Correction Just Getting Started

Denton County's real estate market is going to post some very soft numbers again for October. Both closed and pending home sales are going to be down year-over-year while pending home sales are likely going to post a double-digit decline not just in Denton County, but for the entire Dallas-Fort Worth housing market. OUCH! Available home inventory is shooting higher across the DFW area. While notable economists at the Federal Reserve, local real estate "professionals" and even the "experts" at the RECenter at Texas A&M have been dismissing recent developments as just a cooling off [...]

By |2022-01-05T03:37:34+00:00November 4th, 2018|Dallas Tx Employment, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Humor, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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