New Home Sales

High Prices, Higher Rates Stall Dallas Fort Worth New Home Market

High prices and higher rates are hammering the Dallas-Fort Worth new home market. Starts from new home builders are now expected to increase by only a few hundred homes next year. I am not surprised. I covered this development a few days ago in my post on DR Horton's fourth quarter results, but a recent piece in the Dallas Morning News citing an industry insider/expert highlights the failure of local media to report on what is actually happening. My October housing market report for the DFW area explains why the correction in the local real estate [...]

DR Horton Posts Higher Sales And Orders On Lower Average Prices

Dallas-Fort Worth-based DR Horton released fourth quarter numbers showing an 11 percent increase in home closings for the latest three months ending September 30. The company also posted a 11 percent jump in new net sales orders for the fiscal fourth quarter. With 51,857 homes sold during the past year, DR Horton still edges out Lennar as the country's largest home builder by volume. While DR Horton posted solid results on new home sales and profitability in the latest quarter, the housing slowdown is still evident digging into the company's latest numbers. In the midst [...]

New Home Sales Fall 13.2 Percent In September As Inventory Rises 34 Percent

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for September this morning at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 553,000. This was 5.5 percent below revised August numbers and a 13.2% drop from September last year. The numbers for September new home sales were well below estimates, and they came on top of big downward revisions for previous months as well. Both the median price ($320,000) and the average price ($377,200) were below prices seen last year. The supply of new homes on the market swelled to 7.1 months in September. That translates to a 34% [...]

Hoisington Q3 Update – Deflationary Wave Of Debt Will Stifle Yields

The deflationary wave of debt growing within multiple facets of the U.S. economy will stifle yields. That's the gist of Van Hoisington and Lacy Hunt's latest third quarter Review and Outlook. As the market was puking on the latest surge in Treasury yields above 3%, I couldn't help but notice that the publicly traded homebuilders were getting crushed yet again. With the Freddie Mac 30-year mortgage rate touching 4.9 percent this week (levels not seen in 7 years), things were getting even uglier for the housing sector. There was nowhere to hide this week if [...]

New Home Sales Rise 3.5%, Up 12.7% Year-Over Year

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for August at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 629,000 units. This was in line with expectations, but previous months were revised downward. The August numbers for new home sales indicated a month-over-month increase of 3.5% and a 12.7% increase above August of last year, a relatively easy comparison. Sales of new homes are up 6.9% year-to-date through August when compared to the same period last year. The median price of a new home contracted in August was $320,200, down about $8,000 from last month, but higher than [...]

Census: New Home Sales For July Slide To 627,000 Annual Rate

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for July at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 627,000. That translates to a 1.7% decline from June's pace but up 12.8% year-over-year. The median price of a new home contracted in July was $328,700, an increase of 1.7%. The average price of a new home sold (contracted) in July posted at $394,300, a rise of 5.9%. The July figures for new home sales were below estimates, and that year-over-year increase is a bit misleading. July of last year was a very poor month for new home sales, [...]

New Home Builders Clipped By Weak Order Growth

New home builders had a relatively rough week with several major publicly-traded builders experiencing some nasty haircuts in their stock prices. With the exception of DR Horton, it wasn't a good week for home builder stocks. While Facebook and Twitter were seeing record drops in their share prices, new home builders were also experiencing a hangover from weak growth in new home orders. The Dow Jones Home Construction Index has trended lower for most of the year, down almost 18 percent year-to-date. It doesn't take a rocket scientist to understand why the index peaked just [...]

New Home Sales Miss Expectations In June Despite Lower Prices

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for June at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 631,000. This was below expectations, and a 5.3 percent decline from May. The previous three months were also revised lower. Compared to last June, new home sales were up a modest 2.4%. Surprisingly, the decline in new construction sales came despite lower median and average prices for new homes in June. The median price of $302,100 was $13,100 less than last year. The average price of $363,300 was $7300 lower. It would appear that new home buyers are suffering [...]

New Home Sales Increase To 689,000 Annual Rate In May

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for May at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 689,000 units. This was above forecasts, but previous months were revised lower. According to Census figures the median price of a new single-family home sold in May was $313,000, more than $10,600 LESS than last year's median price. The average price of a new home contracted in May was $368,500, or $9,900 less than May of last year. Putting the May numbers from Census into context with local new home sales, the numbers look plausible. May was a pretty [...]

New Home Sales Rise Less Than Expected In April

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for April that were a little lighter than expected. April new home sales posted at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 662,000. The previous three months were revised lower, with March sales seeing a significant downward revision. The average price of a new home contracted in April was $407,300, a sharp increase from the same time a year ago. The median price of a new home sold (contract signing) was roughly flat at $312,400. That dramatically higher average contract price in April offers a good clue as to [...]

Go to Top