Denton County New Homes

North Texas Real Estate Shatters Records, Before The Fed Pulls the Rug

North Texas real estate shattered a number of records as we closed out the year. December saw record home prices in December as the Federal Reserve continued to pump asset prices. Available home inventory in the Dallas-Fort Worth area dipped to new record lows. Investors, speculators and other home buyers were busy fighting over the dwindling pool of properties available for for sale. The number of homes for sale in North Texas slipped to roughly 11,400 in December. There would be about 30,000 homes for sale in the DFW area under normal conditions. At the [...]

October New Home Sales Below Expectations

New home sales came in lighter than expected for October. The previous three months were also revised lower. Census numbers showed October new home sales at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 745,000 units. Months of supply rose slightly to 6.3, but up 80 percent from last year. If supply is so abundant, why aren't new homes selling like hotcakes? The answer lies in the real unadjusted data. The Census Bureau puts a lot of seasonally adjusted optimism into their figures. Headline Census estimates for new home sales get repeated by major media all [...]

Median New Home Price Hits Record High $408,800

The median new home price in the United States hit a record high $408,800 in September. Census data for new home sales show the average price just off the record high at $451,700. The survey estimate for new home sales in September came in at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 800,000 units. This was a 14 percent improvement from August, but still down 17.6 percent from the same time a year ago. North Texas saw a 16 percent decline in new home contracts from the same time a year ago. Closed sales were [...]

North Texas Home Sales Continue To Soften

North Texas home sales continue to soften. September sales data reflect a 9 percent slide in closings in Denton County. The DFW area experienced a 5 percent slide in home sales last month according to NTREIS Trends data. Pending sales in Denton County were flat to just slightly negative last month. The broader Dallas-Fort Worth area saw a 3 percent decline in September sales contracts. With the Federal Reserve expected to announce a taper of their huge asset purchase program ($120 billion per month) things have been a little wobbly in the markets. After marching [...]

Average Denton County Home Costs More Than Half a Million

Denton County home prices shattered records last month. The median price of a home in the area hit $410,000, up 22.4 percent from the same time a year ago. The average price of a Denton County home hit $506,957, shattering the previous high set in June. The new average home price above half a $million was 29.7 percent higher than August of 2020. Average prices for new construction and resale properties hit new records last month as inventory remained in the basement. The number of homes available for sale in Denton County dipped slightly from [...]

New Home Prices Hit Record Highs

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for July at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 708,000. That was a bit better than official estimates, but still down 27 percent from the same time a year ago. New home prices hit all-time highs in July. The median price of a new home contracted last month rose to $390,500. The average price of new construction hit a new record high of $446,000. The seasonally‐adjusted estimate of new homes for sale at the end of July was 367,000. That figure is a bit misleading because a huge [...]

North Texas Home Sales Taper Before The Fed

North Texas home sales have tapered before the Federal Reserve. The stellar spring selling season is gone, and now we just have the record high prices along with limited inventory. NTREIS stats show that home sales across the Dallas-Fort Worth area declined for the second month in a row in July. Closed sales were down 15 percent, and pending sales were 10 percent lower. After setting records in June, it appears area home prices have also peaked for the time being. Median and average home prices in North Texas slipped last month but were still [...]

New Home Sales Decline But Builders Still Cashing In

New home sales posted a sharp decline for the month of June. Don't worry. Builders are still cashing in with healthy profits. The Census Bureau said new home sales (contracts) for June posted at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 676,000 units. That's 6.6 percent lighter than May and 19.9 percent fewer new home sales than a year ago. According to Census figures, the median price of a new home contracted in June was $361,800. The average price of new construction was $428,700. Even with mortgage interest rates hovering near 3 percent last month that's [...]

Denton County New Home Prices Break Records with Fed’s Inflationary Pump

Denton County new home prices broke new records last month, responding to the Fed's massive $7.92 trillion bubble-blowing balance sheet. While the Federal Reserve continues $120 billion per month in asset purchases ($80 billion in Treasuries and $40 billion in MBS), average new home prices in Denton County hit $477,587. That was a 27.4% jump from the same time a year ago. New home prices have been skyrocketing higher this year as available new home inventory has all but vanished. Closed sales of new construction in Denton County plummeted 30 percent in April. Pending sales [...]

North Texas Home Prices Defy Fed’s Transitory Narrative

North Texas home prices continue to defy the Fed's transitory narrative. While Jerome Powell and various FOMC officials waffle back and forth on continued stimulus, DFW homes are becoming more unaffordable. NTREIS figures for April show the median price of a DFW home jumping 17.4 percent to a record $317,000. The average price of a North Texas home hit a new record of $397,582. That was a jump of 26.8 percent from the same time a year ago. Those numbers make a mockery of Powell's ridiculous 2 percent inflation targets over the longer term. Home [...]

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