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Fed Policy Errors Slam North Texas Housing Market

The Fed Policy errors continue to slam the north Texas housing market. Home affordability remains near historic lows, and inflation is still percolating through the U.S. economy. This is despite two rate cuts from the Powell Fed in the second half of 2024. Mortgage interest rates are up nearly a full percentage point since the Fed's ill-advised 50-basis-point cut in September. The yield on the 10-year Treasury is up roughly 115 basis points. The December unemployment report made it clear inflation is still a thing. The U.S. economy is still humming along with inflated asset [...]

By |2025-01-11T13:02:25+00:00January 11th, 2025|Dallas TX Real Estate, Denton County Employment, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Rent, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Realtor, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Lease, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Employment, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Education, Employment, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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Something’s Gotta Give – Home Prices or Mortgage Rates

Something's gotta give in terms of mortgage rates or home prices. While many agents and loan officers were cheering a 50 basis point rate cut from the Federal Reserve in September, the bond markets smelled a rat. Mortgage rates responded by actually rising by a half point since the Fed's announcement. This halted recent improvement in sales activity. It will also have an effect on home prices now that forward expectations are receiving a dose of reality. The reality is that inflation isn't dead, not by a long shot. Some real estate industry practitioners were [...]

By |2024-10-17T11:56:46+00:00October 11th, 2024|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Rent, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Lease, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Employment, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Lease, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Employment, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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Sharp Rebound in North Texas Home Inventory

North Texas home inventory has experienced a sharp rebound in 2024. The savagely unhealthy housing market and a buyers' strike have helped to replenish available housing stock this year. The key has been a dramatic turnaround in existing home inventory. Across the DFW area, existing home supply has rebounded sharply this year. Here's a county-level summary of the resale inventory increases in the Dallas-Fort Worth area through July 2024: Dallas County - Up 63.6% Year-over-Year (3.6 months of supply) Tarrant County - Up 59.1% (3.5 months of supply) Collin County - Up 69.6% (3.9 months [...]

By |2024-08-16T11:55:30+00:00August 10th, 2024|Denton County Employment, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Realtor, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Lease, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Property Taxes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Employment, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Employment, Housing Market, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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Denton County Home Sales Hit 11-Year Low

Denton County home sales slid to an 11-year low in June. Closed sales continued to stagnate with mortgage rates still hovering near seven percent. Home prices were near all-time highs. The confusing mix of housing unaffordability pushed more more buyers to the sidelines. Closings were 14 percent lower year-over year. Average home prices in Denton County moved up 4.1 percent to $589,000 in June. Pending contracts slid 13 percent year-over-year in June. With sluggish sales, available home inventory perked up significantly last month. Months of supply in Denton County shot up 36 percent from a [...]

By |2024-08-13T11:02:03+00:00July 9th, 2024|Denton County Employment, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Realtor, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Lease, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Employment, DFW Home Prices, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Employment, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate|0 Comments
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Real Estate Market Bounces as Banking Crisis Fades

The real estate market bounced in March as turmoil in the banking sector subsided. Denton County home sales nearly doubled from the January lows, putting sales up 13 percent from a year ago. Pending contract edged up as well, placing contract activity 10 percent higher than March of last year. Some context is in order here since activity is still light compared to historical trend. This is largely due to diminished inventory levels. Denton County was still sitting on 1.8 months of supply in March. That's down from the 2.9 months we saw in October [...]

By |2024-08-13T11:23:01+00:00April 10th, 2023|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Realtor, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Employment, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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Denton Texas Employment Stalls With Fading Govt Stimulus

Denton Texas employment stalled in July as stimulus benefits for many Americans came to an end. While Denton and Denton County showed slight increases in employment from June levels, North Texas as a whole actually lost jobs during the month. The Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA region saw unadjusted nonfarm employment fall by 12,900 jobs from June levels. Employment for the North Texas region was down by 150,500 jobs compared to July 2019. The latest numbers from the Texas Workforce Commission in July are a stark reminder that the real economy has not fully recovered, even if [...]

By |2020-08-22T14:26:55+00:00August 22nd, 2020|Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Employment, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Employment, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Denton Texas Employment Rebounds, But More Assistance Needed

Denton Texas employment levels continued to rebound in June, but it is obvious more state and federal assistance will be needed to weather the Covid-related job losses. Yesterday Texas reported the 3rd consecutive day of triple digit fatalities and a record high single day death toll of 174 people. Denton County saw its largest one day spike in coronavirus cases during the pandemic. The recent spike in Covid cases and fatalities in the state of Texas has put Texas' economic reopening on hold. The start of the new school year is still a moving target [...]

By |2020-07-20T21:00:57+00:00July 18th, 2020|Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Employment, DFW Relocation, Employment, Mortgage Rates, Relocation|0 Comments
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Corona Hangover Coming To The North Texas Housing Market

A corona hangover is coming to the North Texas housing market. It's not a question of if, but when. Texas posted a 3rd consecutive daily record yesterday for Covid-19 fatalities, and the 2nd wave of the coronavirus has put the reopening of the Texas economy on hold. The fall opening of schools and universities is becoming more problematic by the day. Anxiety is a now common theme because there are few good choices available when leaders at the Federal and state level have failed us in so many ways. North Texas home sales rebounded sharply [...]

By |2022-08-06T13:36:48+00:00July 10th, 2020|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Employment, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Employment, Housing Market, Mortgage Rates|2 Comments
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North Texas Housing Market Hit With Two Viruses

The North Texas housing market is being hit with two viruses. The Covid-19 coronavirus and the subsequent lockdowns which halted economic activity resulted in a 26 percent decline in home sales in May. That was the worst annual decline for the Dallas-Fort Worth housing market in a decade. Contrary to the story spun in the area's largest newspaper it wasn't the pandemic that "chased buyers away". The 42 million new unemployment claims and a cliff dive in the stock market were responsible for that. It's difficult to get a mortgage when you are on unemployment, [...]

By |2020-06-15T16:33:21+00:00June 9th, 2020|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Employment, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Market, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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Denton County Unemployment Spikes To 12.9% In April

Denton County unemployment hit 12.9 percent in April, and the City of Denton saw unemployment spike to 14.1 percent last month. For the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA, unemployment rose to 12.8 percent in April. Those were the sobering statistics from the Texas Workforce Commission. The destruction to the North Texas labor force created by the Covid-19 pandemic and lockdowns is hard to grasp, because the United States hasn't experienced anything similar since the Great Depression. Even after the Great Recession in 2008 U.S. unemployment levels peaked around 10 percent. The May unemployment numbers for Denton County [...]

By |2020-05-26T12:07:41+00:00May 26th, 2020|Denton County Employment, Denton County Relocation, DFW Employment, DFW Relocation, Economy, Employment, Relocation, Texas Employment|0 Comments
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Aaron Layman Realtor Denton County Texas Questions? Call me now at
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