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Existing Home Sales Decline For 14th Consecutive Month

The National Association of Realtors reported existing home sales for April which came in short of expectations. Existing sales in April posted at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.19 million units. This was 0.4 percent lower than March and 4.4 percent lower than April of 2018. According to NAR the median price of an existing home rose 3.6% in April to $267,300. The average price of an existing home in the U.S. rose 2.5% to $305,200. The inventory of existing homes for sale in April stood at 4.2 months, up 5% from a year [...]

By |2019-05-21T19:43:44+00:00May 21st, 2019|Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Existing Home Sales, Mortgage Rates, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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Home Builder Confidence Not Confirmed By Housing Starts & Permits Data

This week the National Association of Home Builders reported improved confidence and business conditions among new home builders. With the big drop in mortgage interest rates, builders have been enjoying solid sales so far in 2019. NAHB chairman, Greg Ugalde, even said as much... “Builders are busy catching up after a wet winter and many characterize sales as solid, driven by improved demand and ongoing low overall supply...However, affordability challenges persist and remain a big impediment to stronger sales.” With mortgage rates just above 4 percent, the year-over-year interest rate comparisons are very favorable for [...]

By |2020-03-28T14:39:58+00:00May 16th, 2019|Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Mortgage Rates, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Texas Realtors Pay Over $6 Million For Bogus Research At A&M RECenter

"The first rule of fight club is: You do not talk about fight club." Texas Realtors continue to throw money at bogus research at the Texas A&M Real Estate Center. Many Texas Realtors probably don't even know that a portion of their annual licensing dues goes to pay the salaries of the staff at the RECenter. Many are probably unaware of how they are being shortchanged by this Texas institution which is still partnering with the Federal Reserve when it comes to economic research. That is a shame, because the garbage being produced by the [...]

By |2019-05-14T15:52:53+00:00May 14th, 2019|Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Housing Policy, Politics, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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DFW Contract Activity Cools In April As Stimulus From Lower Rates Fades

DFW contract activity faded in April. Looking at the preliminary sales data for North Texas, it is apparent that the stimulus from the big drop in mortgage rates has run its course. It will be another week or so before we get the official press release numbers, but the data is telling. April was another good month for home sales. Actual closings for home sales showed a robust real estate market in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, but contract signings were another matter. Preliminary sales data indicate that the DFW real estate market is peaking prematurely [...]

By |2020-09-22T15:46:20+00:00May 1st, 2019|Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Policy, Mortgage Rates, Politics, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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Fed Says No Rate Hikes In 2019, Balance Sheet Drawdown Ending In September

The Jerome Powell cave is now a comical farce. Aside from using the word "patient" about 30 times in the March FOMC statement, Jerome Powell told us the Fed does not expect to hike interest rates at all in 2019. To top things off, the Fed balance sheet that was on autopilot at the end of last year will now end this September. In terms of the Fed's projections for the economy, growth was revised down and the unemployment rate was revised up slightly. "In light of global economic and financial developments and muted inflation [...]

By |2019-03-22T00:46:54+00:00March 21st, 2019|Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Policy, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Zillow Offers Coming To Dallas, Company Losses Widen

Zillow Offers are reportedly coming to the Dallas market sometime in 2019. The internet giant/real estate portal will reportedly be expanding its Zillow Offers iBuyer program to sellers in the DFW market sometime this year. Zillow's version of the cash offer buy-your-home-at-a-discount service is already operational in several markets including Phoenix, Vegas, Atlanta, Denver and Charlotte. Zillow reportedly has some lofty plans for their iBuyer program according to their latest investor presentation and earnings release. After posting a full-year loss of more than $119 million for 2018, Zillow founder, Rich Barton, is returning as CEO [...]

By |2019-02-22T22:50:11+00:00February 22nd, 2019|Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Housing Market, In the Press, Real Estate, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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Caveman Powell Looking To Levitate Stock, Housing Bubbles

Yesterday the Federal Reserve yelped like a whipped puppy as Jerome Powell turned into the latest iteration of his market-dependent Bernanke/Yellen/Greenspan predecessors. If you remember, Mr. Powell was here in the DFW area back in November playing up the fabulous state of the U.S economy and the Fed's wonderful policies. At the time expectations were that the Fed would be raising the Federal Funds rate four more times this year with a balance sheet reduction schedule that was supposedly on "autopilot" to the tune of $50 billion per month rolling off. Flash forward one quarter [...]

By |2019-01-31T17:05:05+00:00January 31st, 2019|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Housing Policy, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Politics, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate, Video|0 Comments
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D.R. Horton New Home Orders Miss Expectations With Average Prices At 5-Year Low

Arlington-based D.R. Horton posted some mixed fiscal first quarter results today with the DFW homebuilder missing profit and sales order expectations. D.R. saw rising sales and revenue for the quarter, but even with a huge tax expense reduction and 4.1 million shares repurchased by the company, things didn't quite work out as well as the company might have anticipated. D.R. Horton closed 7 percent more homes in the latest quarter, 11,500, but net sales orders for the period ending in December rose only 3 percent to 11042 homes. That D.R. Horton was able to achieve [...]

By |2019-01-25T19:58:26+00:00January 25th, 2019|Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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False Narratives About The Housing Market Refuse To Die

False narratives about the U.S. housing market refuse to die. Mainstream media and real estate industry shills continue to deflect attention from the complex, but at the same time rather simple reasons behind the lack of housing affordability. Politico author, Lorraine Woellert, offers us a perfect example of everything that is wrong with the U.S. housing market, including the mainstream media reporting on it. I hadn't come across this piece previously, but having  now read it, there are a number of red flags that are worth calling out. Woellert seems appropriately concerned that only wealthy [...]

By |2022-08-06T13:27:50+00:00January 12th, 2019|DFW Real Estate, Economy, Education, Housing Policy, In the Press, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Hyper-Financialized DFW Housing Market Will Get Worse

The National Association of Realtors reported pending home sales for November slid 7.7 percent compared to a year ago. Of course the headline you probably saw in the media was the 0.7 percent drop compared to October's decline in contract signings. With the stock market poised to finish one of the worst Decembers in recent memory, you can rest assured the hyper-financialized Dallas-Fort Worth housing market is going to get worse before it fully recovers. Chief economist, Lawrence Yun, attempted to diffuse concerns about sliding sales numbers in November in NAR's latest press release, but [...]

By |2019-10-24T22:05:01+00:00December 29th, 2018|Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Pending Home Sales, Spin Cycle|1 Comment
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Aaron Layman Realtor Denton County Texas Questions? Call me now at
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