Credibility Trap Archives

October New Home Sales Collapse, Near Three-Year Low
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October New Home Sales Collapse, Near Three-Year Low

Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales, Politics, Texas Real Estate

October New Home Sales Collapse, Near Three-Year Low

The Census Bureau numbers for October new home sales posted at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 544,000 units. This was way below expectations of a 575,000 print, and near a three-year low. As I have been detailing for much of the year, much of that "pent-up demand" that you hear real estate industry mouthpieces talking about is a giant work of fiction, a tired marketing ploy that the media, economists and Realtors have been using in attempt to justify grossly inflated home prices across the U.S. Well, it appears the cat is officially [...]

By Aaron Layman|2022-01-05T03:36:33+00:00November 28th, 2018|Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales, Politics, Texas Real Estate|2 Comments

RECenter A&M Economists Still Wasting Texas Realtors’ Money
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RECenter A&M Economists Still Wasting Texas Realtors’ Money

Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Education, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle, Texas Home Prices, Texas Real Estate

RECenter A&M Economists Still Wasting Texas Realtors’ Money

RECenter at A&M economists and data junkies are still wasting the dues of Texas Realtors that pay a good chunk of their salaries. It seems the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M economists are phase-locked in a myopic pursuit to somehow rationalize or justify the status quo situation with Texas housing. "Intellectual Phase-Locking is a condition that results when dogmatic 'scientific' assumptions inhibit further inquiry." Rupert Sheldrake Last year I wrote about some of the interesting details on the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M and their funding. I have also clued readers in on the [...]

By Aaron Layman|2018-09-21T09:29:31+00:00July 22nd, 2018|Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Education, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle, Texas Home Prices, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments

The Fed Has Successfully Destroyed The U.S. Housing Market
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The Fed Has Successfully Destroyed The U.S. Housing Market

Denton County Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Education, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Politics, Spin Cycle

The Fed Has Successfully Destroyed The U.S. Housing Market

A few days ago a friend of mine sent me a link to some "insight" on the coming economic developments that we should be preparing for in terms of debts and deficits. The company providing this research piece has over a $trillion in assets under management. Since I have a healthy skepticism of anything the financial "services" industry is selling I decided to give it a read. It was very informative, partly due to a complete fundamental ignorance of basic economics, but also because of an obvious contradiction with the author's stated assumptions. As I [...]

By Aaron Layman|2018-04-29T10:58:50+00:00April 27th, 2018|Denton County Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Education, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Politics, Spin Cycle|7 Comments

DC’s Fiscal Lunacy, Fed’s Unwind Creating Waves For Housing Market
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DC’s Fiscal Lunacy, Fed’s Unwind Creating Waves For Housing Market

Denton County Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Mortgages, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate

DC’s Fiscal Lunacy, Fed’s Unwind Creating Waves For Housing Market

The fiscal lunacy in Washington and the Federal Reserve's balance sheet unwind are creating waves for the housing market. 2018 was starting off on the right foot with a noticeable, yet moderate rise in bond yields. As we received more concrete evidence that the Federal Reserve was actually unwinding some of that gigantic balance sheet, volatility erupted pretty quickly. After a 12oo point plunge in the Dow, some savvy mortgage borrowers probably took advantage of the temporary fear in the market to score a decent mortgage rate. It was a small window of opportunity, because [...]

By Aaron Layman|2018-09-08T15:50:43+00:00February 8th, 2018|Denton County Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Mortgages, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments

Federal Reserve Sowed The Seeds Of The Next Housing Downturn
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Federal Reserve Sowed The Seeds Of The Next Housing Downturn

Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, Mortgage Rates, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate

Federal Reserve Sowed The Seeds Of The Next Housing Downturn

The Federal Reserve is poised to cause yet another housing downturn in the U.S. I'm not talking about a spectacular Lehman style apocalypse mind you, but an honest downturn that will be unavoidable. Today's S&P Case-Shiller home price index showed another rise in Dallas home prices in November. This is essentially lagged data confirming what most prospective DFW home buyers already knew, namely that Dallas area home prices are pretty damn high. The national index showed that U.S. home prices were up 6.2 percent, or roughly three times average U.S. hourly income growth. The BEA [...]

By Aaron Layman|2019-04-12T16:19:09+00:00January 30th, 2018|Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, Mortgage Rates, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments

New Home Sales Rebound In May

The Census Bureau reported a rebound for new home sales in May. New residential home sales posted at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 610,000. This was 2.9 percent higher than the revised April numbers and 8.9 percent higher than a year ago. The median price of a new home contracted in May was $345,800 while the average new home price in May came in at $406,400. Just like we saw with existing home sales this week, median home prices hit a new all-time high. New home sales volume, while up from last month, is [...]

By Aaron Layman|2022-08-06T13:29:09+00:00June 23rd, 2017|Economy, Existing Home Sales, Housing Policy, New Home Sales, Real Estate, Texas Home Prices, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments

"Could not have been more pleased with the entire process of selling my Katy house. Aaron was very professional and went out of his way to help kennel my dog before showings while I was at work. He had an outstanding knowledge of the entire real estate transaction process and was always very responsive to my questions. Would definitely recommend Mr. Layman to anyone I know!!"

Matt B., Home Seller

"Aaron helped us narrow down our choices and navigate the market. He is very knowledgeable about making a wise decision. He will help you find a house that you love and is a good financial decision."

Kristina R., Home Buyer

"Aaron was our realtor when we bought our house 13 years ago and he was our realtor when we sold our house in 2014. He is honest about the market and very helpful with all aspects of buying/selling a home. We would recommend him to anyone in need of realty services."

Paula O., Home Buyer & Seller

"We had several agents to choose from as we'd been in the area for several years. Aaron was an easy choice as he's knowledgeable and wasn't afraid to go after what's best for us, his clients! He kept us well informed throughout the process and was always prompt in answering questions from start to finish. We definitely recommend Aaron!"

Shanna K., Home Buyer

"Working with Aaron was the best decision we made when looking for a new home and selling our previous home. He is one of the most knowledgeable realtors in the area. He knows the numbers, the trends, and always has data to back up his recommendations and decisions. Likewise, he made the process simple and understandable at the same time. Aaron was always in our corner and always did his best to get the best outcome for us. I have recommended Aaron to many friends and family and would recommend him to anyone looking to buy or sell their home."

Angelo G., Home Buyer & Seller

Denton County Realtor Aaron Layman

940-209-2100

Credibility Trap