DFW Home Prices

New Home Sales Fall 13.2 Percent In September As Inventory Rises 34 Percent

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for September this morning at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 553,000. This was 5.5 percent below revised August numbers and a 13.2% drop from September last year. The numbers for September new home sales were well below estimates, and they came on top of big downward revisions for previous months as well. Both the median price ($320,000) and the average price ($377,200) were below prices seen last year. The supply of new homes on the market swelled to 7.1 months in September. That translates to a 34% [...]

Denton County Home Sales See Big September Decline

Denton County home sales saw a big September decline as Dallas-Fort Worth experienced the sharpest home sales drop in seven years according to the latest NTREIS data. The latest press release on September home sales show a statistically estimated 7 percent drop in total single-family home sales in North Texas during the month of September. Pending sales show to be down 6% year-over-year. The median price of a North Texas single-family home was $251,000 in September, a gain of 4%. The average price of a single-family home stood at $304,331, an increase of 6%. Single-family [...]

Yield Surge Hits Already Beaten Down Homebuilder Stocks

The yield surge experienced this week certainly took its toll on homebuilder stocks. As the yield on the benchmark U.S.  10 -Year Treasury eclipsed 3.2 percent this week, you could hear the air coming out of the publicly traded homebuilder sector. The Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction Index was down 27% as of yesterday's close. The year-to-date declines in the stocks of publicly traded homebuilders certainly don't echo the "remarkably positive" economic circumstances that Fed chair Jerome Powell was playing up this week. I can only assume he was referring to the Wall Street bonus [...]

Denton TX Residential Lease Market Squeezing Renters

Single-family rents in Denton Texas continue squeeze local renters, and it comes at a time when average home prices are near record highs. For those looking to lease a home this past summer, the available rental options were more expensive than ever. As Denton TX home prices were shooting to record highs this year, the summer demand for single-family lease homes rose like the North Texas triple degree temperatures. During the month of August lease activity in Denton rose 65% year-over-year with the average price of a Denton rental hitting $1599 per month in the [...]

10 Years After The Housing Crash, Dallas-Fort Worth Experiencing Consequences Of Policy Failures

10 years after the housing crash and the Great Recession that nearly brought the world economy to its knees, the adults in the room are still pretending that everything is normal. If you read the Dallas Morning News and the spin of many professional economists, the DFW real estate market has emerged from the wreckage 10 years ago relatively unscathed. With DFW home prices at record highs, most housing pundits are eager to suggest everything is awesome. Apparently the recent rise in home inventories is just blip in an otherwise normalization of the formerly red [...]

Denton County Home Sales Slide 7% In August

Denton County home sales continued to stagnate in August, sliding 7 percent from the same time last year. Denton area home sales declined a bit more than the DFW area as a whole during August,  likely due to the higher average price points in Denton County. The average price of a Denton County home in August posted at $362,872, almost $50,000 higher than the greater DFW area. Pending sales for August are poised to be down double digits in Denton County, even while inventory creeps higher. With home buyers are looking for affordable housing options, [...]

Census: New Home Sales For July Slide To 627,000 Annual Rate

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for July at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 627,000. That translates to a 1.7% decline from June's pace but up 12.8% year-over-year. The median price of a new home contracted in July was $328,700, an increase of 1.7%. The average price of a new home sold (contracted) in July posted at $394,300, a rise of 5.9%. The July figures for new home sales were below estimates, and that year-over-year increase is a bit misleading. July of last year was a very poor month for new home sales, [...]

Look For Dallas Fort Worth Employment Engine To Cool

The Dallas Fort Worth employment engine could be cooling off after consecutive years of impressive growth. The latest numbers from the Texas Workforce Commission were still solid for July, reflective of the typical summer turnover, but there are headwinds now blowing against DFW job sector growth. Dallas Fed economists have miraculously figured out that previous employment growth projections for Texas were probably overstated. They have since dialed back their job growth forecast to 2.7%, down from the previous forecast of 3.0% released just last month. While it may catch many local economists off guard, the [...]

New Home Sales Miss Expectations In June Despite Lower Prices

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for June at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 631,000. This was below expectations, and a 5.3 percent decline from May. The previous three months were also revised lower. Compared to last June, new home sales were up a modest 2.4%. Surprisingly, the decline in new construction sales came despite lower median and average prices for new homes in June. The median price of $302,100 was $13,100 less than last year. The average price of $363,300 was $7300 lower. It would appear that new home buyers are suffering [...]

RECenter A&M Economists Still Wasting Texas Realtors’ Money

RECenter at A&M economists and data junkies are still wasting the dues of Texas Realtors that pay a good chunk of their salaries. It seems the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M economists are phase-locked in a myopic pursuit to somehow rationalize or justify the status quo situation with Texas housing. "Intellectual Phase-Locking is a condition that results when dogmatic 'scientific' assumptions inhibit further inquiry." Rupert Sheldrake Last year I wrote about some of the interesting details on the Real Estate Center at Texas A&M and their funding. I have also clued readers in on the [...]

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