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In the Press

Demand Destruction Hitting Denton County Housing Market

Demand destruction continues to hit the Denton County housing market. The Federal Reserve's housing reset and tighter policy led to a 28 percent slide in home sales in November. Pending contracts for homes were down 24 percent from the same time a year ago. In reality sales numbers are softer than official estimates. We still have another 6 months or so before we'll see more accurate comparisons on sales totals with new construction sales consistently in the MLS. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association mortgage purchase applications are still running about 40 percent lower than [...]

By |2022-12-13T15:43:41+00:00December 11th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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Who Benefits From the Financialization of Housing and Build-to-Rent?

There are countless real estate industry professionals and consultants floating ridiculous narratives regarding single-family rentals and build-to-rent. This is as good a time as any to debunk the "we're filling a need" nonsense. What we're really taking about here is the financialization of housing and the Cantillon Effect. If you are connected to the build-to-rent industry and collect a paycheck from the financialization of single-family housing, okay. No problem with that. Want to ignore the data and look the other way. No problem. It's easy to do. Just don't expect a thinking public with working [...]

By |2022-07-31T16:11:09+00:00July 31st, 2022|Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Policy, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Politics, Regulation, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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Mortgage Rates Breach 5% Mark After Brainard Speech

U.S. mortgage rates breached the critical 5 percent level today. Prepared remarks from FOMC dove Lael Brainard spooked the markets into a tailspin sending yields on the 10-year Treasury above 2.56 percent. Average mortgage interest rates quoted from Mortgage News Daily spiked to 5.02 percent. This is the first time rates have been this high since 2018. You may remember that the fourth quarter of 2018 also saw the stock market and real estate markets come unglued before the Fed stepped in to intervene. Unfortunately for real estate bulls, this time is different. Instead of [...]

By |2022-04-06T11:47:53+00:00April 5th, 2022|Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Markets, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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Media Narrative on Housing Shortage is Comically Absurd

The current media narrative on the U.S. housing shortage is comically absurd misdirection. Numerous experts in the industry continue to float the same tired narratives and misdirection while media mouthpieces nod in agreement. It's truly sad to watch. News segments offering up explanations of our housing affordability crisis look more like industry infomercials. According the Wall Street arm of the housing industry renting is the new American dream. Wall Street predators are just filling the gap, providing much-needed housing in a time of need. Just a few days ago our local CBS affiliate ran this [...]

By |2022-03-22T01:23:54+00:00March 21st, 2022|Denton County Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Education, Housing Policy, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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Denton County Home Sales Slide Again As Inventory Double Dips

Denton County home sales are drying up as fast as the inventory. Closings in Denton County fell 7 percent last month. Pending sales were just slightly lower compared to the same time a year ago. The problem continues to be sky high prices and super low inventory. The median price of a home in Denton County hit a record high $415,000 last month. Average home prices fell slightly to $477,978, but they are still 21.5 percent higher than the same time a year ago. The number of homes for sale fell for a 4th consecutive [...]

By |2021-12-11T13:50:07+00:00December 10th, 2021|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press|0 Comments
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Zillow Puts the Brakes on Cash Offers for Remainder of Year

Zillow has hit the pause button on buying homes in the U.S. Zillow reportedly has halted cash purchases of homes through the remainder of the year. Citing labor and supply shortages, the company says it just can't keep up with demand as it works through a backlog of homes it has to close on, renovate and sell. Zillow's chief operating officer phrased it like this. “We’re operating within a labor-and supply-constrained economy inside a competitive real estate market, especially in the construction, renovation and closing spaces.” Interestingly, other iBuyers like Opendoor, Offerpad and Redfin have [...]

By |2021-10-19T15:04:33+00:00October 19th, 2021|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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Robert Kaplan Takes Early Retirement From Dallas Fed Amid Trading Scandal

The Dallas Fed's Robert Kaplan and Boston Fed chief Eric Rosengren announced they will be taking early retirement. Revelations of dubious trading activity by various Fed officials have weighed heavily on the credibility of the Federal Reserve in recent weeks. It's about time! It's not like the Fed had much credibility left to salvage. FOMC officials have demonstrated time and time again they have no shame. The internet was quick to chime in on the news of Kaplan and Rosengren's early retirement, but the best take of all has to be from Pam & Russ [...]

By |2021-09-28T10:03:20+00:00September 28th, 2021|Denton County Real Estate, Education, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Politics, Regulation, Spin Cycle|1 Comment
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Average Denton County Home Costs More Than Half a Million

Denton County home prices shattered records last month. The median price of a home in the area hit $410,000, up 22.4 percent from the same time a year ago. The average price of a Denton County home hit $506,957, shattering the previous high set in June. The new average home price above half a $million was 29.7 percent higher than August of 2020. Average prices for new construction and resale properties hit new records last month as inventory remained in the basement. The number of homes available for sale in Denton County dipped slightly from [...]

By |2021-09-18T20:45:40+00:00September 10th, 2021|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Markets, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates, Regulation, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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North Texas Home Prices Defy Fed’s Transitory Narrative

North Texas home prices continue to defy the Fed's transitory narrative. While Jerome Powell and various FOMC officials waffle back and forth on continued stimulus, DFW homes are becoming more unaffordable. NTREIS figures for April show the median price of a DFW home jumping 17.4 percent to a record $317,000. The average price of a North Texas home hit a new record of $397,582. That was a jump of 26.8 percent from the same time a year ago. Those numbers make a mockery of Powell's ridiculous 2 percent inflation targets over the longer term. Home [...]

By |2021-05-14T15:10:40+00:00May 10th, 2021|Denton County Employment, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates, Relocation|0 Comments
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Denton County Housing Market Now Dependent On Fed Liquidity

The Denton County housing market is now a dependent of the Fed. Over 3 $trillion in quantitative easing has ramped home prices to record highs while driving inventory to record lows. North Texas housing no longer resembles a normal market. Borrowers can now be in COVID mortgage forbearance for up to 15 months while the Fed is busy blowing another massive asset bubble. The American Enterprise Institute has called out the Federal Reserve for blatantly distorting the housing market, but the Fed is still flooding the system with liquidity. Some FOMC officials are calling for [...]

By |2021-02-11T14:25:50+00:00February 10th, 2021|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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Aaron Layman Realtor Denton County Texas Questions? Call me now at
940-209-2100

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