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North Texas Home Sales Hit A Wall As Inventory Dries Up

North Texas home sales hit a wall in February as inventory available in the market dried up across the Dallas-Fort Worth area. The Fed-fueled mania gripping the local real estate market is now left searching for support at grossly distorted levels. North Texas home sales declined by 6 percent compared to February of last year. Pending home sales fell 13 percent. The supply of homes available for sale has never been lower according to NTREIS statistics going back 20 years. Inventory in the DFW area now stands at a single month of supply at the [...]

AEI: The Fed is Misdiagnosing Monetary Policy’s Effect on the Housing Market

The American Enterprise Institute is taking the Federal Reserve to task for its bubble-blowing monetary policy. The AEI' latest report on housing market indicators is a wonderful composition detailing how Federal Reserve monetary policy has fueled massive home price appreciation and speculation in the the U.S. housing market. It's refreshing to see that others calling the Powell Fed out for blatantly obvious asset price distortions. With Powell continuing the denial and misdirection, the problems are likely to get worse before they get better. I would encourage you to read the entire AEI Housing Center report [...]

Bombshell: Houston Agents Caught Steering Buyers Away From Homes With Lower Commissions

On November 2020 the National Association of Realtors settled its antitrust case with the Department of Justice, agreeing to a number of reforms over how MLS boards operate. The settlement also addressed how Realtors compete in their local markets. We now have more understanding of why the case was filed, and why it was settled. The Houston Chronicle is reporting on how several Houston area agents were caught on tape steering buyers away from homes which did not offer three percent commissions. Last year the Department of Justice announced the lawsuit against NAR and the [...]

Reckoning Awaits For Inflated North Texas Real Estate Market

The reckoning awaits for the hyper-financialized north Texas real estate market.  It may take a few months for reality to sink in, but the writing is on the wall regardless of the efforts of housing industry pundits and professional economists to downplay the damage. The hopes of a v-shaped recovery are vanishing faster than the toilet paper on the shelves of your local grocery store. Many of the supposed experts, like the PhD economists employed at the Texas Real Estate Center at A&M, have turned a blind eye to the artificial inflation in Texas real [...]

January New Home Sales Highest Since 2007 At 764,000 SAAR

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for January at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 764,000. This is the highest level for new home sales since the summer of 2007. The January print for new home sales is also an increase of 18.6 percent from the same time a year ago. The strong January numbers for new home sales should not be surprising. Declining mortgage rates and major stimulus from the Fed continue to stoke asset inflation in the housing market. I recently detailed how home prices in Denton Texas just hit a [...]

Denton Texas Home Prices Jump To Record Highs With Fed Liquidity

Denton Texas home prices jumped to record highs in January, defying typical seasonal weakness that would accompany a normal real estate market. Today's real estate markets are anything but normal, but we'll get to that in a moment. The median price of a Denton TX home rose 4.7 percent to a record $273,706 in January while the average price jumped 5.5 percent to $288,441. The average price per square foot of a Denton home spiked 9.4 percent to a record $140 per square foot...in January! While the local real estate industry is celebrating these numbers [...]

North Texas Finishes Year With Strong December Home Sales

North Texas finished the year with strong December home sales. NTREIS data indicate home sales jumped 13 percent compared to the same time last year. Median home prices rose 5.1 percent, and average home prices in the Dallas-Fort Worth area rose 5.5 percent in December. The supply of homes for sale dropped about 7 percent to 25, 503 in December. December provided another easy year-over-year comparison. At the end of 2018 the North Texas real estate market was experiencing a pronounced slump amid rising interest rates. There was also a big swan dive in the [...]

NAR: Existing Home Sales Up 3.9% In September

The National Association of Realtors reported a 3.9% increase in existing home sales for the month of September. Home sales in the South region were reportedly up 6 percent according to NAR, and this is reflective of what we saw in the North Texas housing market last month. The big year-over-drop in rates pushed both home sales and prices higher last month. According to NAR the median price of an existing U.S. home increased 5.9% in September. The average price of a U.S. home at $308,500 was higher by 4.2%. Months of supply stood at [...]

New Home Sales Soar In August, DFW Included

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for August at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 713,000 for August, This was above expectations and sales for July were revised upward as well. The median price of a new home contracted in August was $328,400, while the average price of a new home shot up to $404,200. Lower rates obviously spurred more borrowers to open up their checkbooks in August. Months of supply for new homes stood at 5.5 in August, down almost 13 percent from the 6.3 months of supply seen last year. As [...]

New Home Sales Rise 4.5 Percent In June On Lower Rates

The Census Bureau reported new home sales for June at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 646,000 units. This was up 7 percent from revised May figures and 4.5 percent higher than a year ago. The previous three months were revised lower. The median price of a new home contracted in June was $310,400, almost unchanged from last year. The average price of a new home in June was $368,600, a decrease of $1500 from June 2018. Months of supply stood at 6.3 in June, up from 6.0 months of supply last year. Translated on [...]

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