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Denton County Home Inventory Piling Up as Housing Market Stalls

Home inventory in Denton County continues to pile up as the North Texas housing market stalls. The post-pandemic housing bubble is now popping under the pressure of dramatically higher mortgage rates and a lack of affordability. NTREIS figures show Denton County home sales fell 10 percent from June of last year. Pending sales declined roughly 8 percent year-over-year. The inventory of homes available for sale is up 80 percent from a year ago. With the decline in sales, months of inventory has spiked 90 percent from a year ago. Months of inventory for new construction [...]

By |2022-07-14T14:37:24+00:00July 9th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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New Home Sales Improve Slightly With Lower Prices

New home sales improved in May...with some significantly lower prices. The Census Bureau reported new home sales for May at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 696,000 units. That was better than revised April numbers, but 5.9 percent lower than a year ago. The median sales price of a new house sold in May 2022 was $449,000. The average sales price was $511,400. That's a $58,100 drop from the average price in April. The seasonally adjusted months of inventory stood at 7.7 months of supply. It is worth noting that the supply of homes [...]

By |2022-06-25T15:46:12+00:00June 25th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, DFW Home Prices, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales, Real Estate, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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Powell Fires Warning Shot at the Housing Market

This is a rough transcript of Jerome Powell's remarks on housing during this week's post-FOMC press conference. I apologize for any errors. Powell's remarks on housing come around the 1:51 mark toward the end of the press conference. See video below. It appears Jerome has finally figured out housing inflation is a serious headwind to the Fed's efforts to curtail raging inflation. It makes you wonder what they were looking at for the entirety of 2021 when the Powell Fed was pretending inflation was transitory. Question from Bankrate's Mark Hamrick: I Wonder what your assessment [...]

By |2022-06-16T21:18:02+00:00June 16th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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7 Tips for Denton County Home Buyers as the Housing Bubble Pops

Here are 7 tips for Denton County home buyers as the post-pandemic housing bubble pops. We've seen some epic moves in the bond markets the last few days. The yield on the 10-year treasury bond spiked to 3.5% on Tuesday, pushing mortgage rates to yearly highs. The rate on 30-year fixed-rate mortgage jumped to 6.28% according to Mortgage News Daily. Inflation is raging, and consumers are losing patience. If they aren’t already priced out of the market, many buyers are hitting the pause button. Home affordability has been absolutely crushed the last few months as the [...]

By |2022-06-15T10:30:56+00:00June 15th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Rent, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Lease, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Market, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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7 Tips for North Texas Home Sellers as the Housing Bubble Pops

Here are 7 tips for North Texas home sellers as the DFW housing bubble pops. The bond markets made another seismic shift last week with big implications for the housing market and home sellers. Mortgage interest rates are now close to six percent, and inventory is climbing quickly. Home sellers need to be aware of the huge shift in the housing market as the Fed normalizes policy. Tip # 1 – Acknowledge the bubble for what it is There are countless “experts” in the mortgage and real estate space who completely missed the tectonic shift [...]

By |2022-06-12T14:03:09+00:00June 12th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Markets, Monetary Policy|0 Comments
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New Home Sales Plunge with Affordability Concerns

New home sales took a serious nosedive in April. The Census Bureau reported new home sales for April at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 591,000. That was way below consensus estimates and a 16.6 percent slide from the March figure.  New home sales were down 26.9 percent from April of last year. Previous months' estimates were also revised lower. The following two charts help explain why the consensus has been oblivious to what's really happening. Something was bound to give, and it finally did. In layman's terms, new homes are no longer affordable [...]

By |2022-05-24T21:24:39+00:00May 24th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Markets, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales|0 Comments
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North Texas Housing Market Looks Like A Bubble

The North Texas housing market is looking like a bubble waiting to burst. Home prices continued to melt up in April. Median and average home prices hit new all-time highs across the Dallas-Fort Worth area. The median home price in Denton County hit a new record high of $480,000, an increase of 22.9 percent from last year. Average prices hit $577,607. That was up 25.1 percent year-over-year. The melt-up in prices is pretty astounding considering mortgage interest rates are now solidly above 5 percent. Monthly payments for a prospective home buyer in North Texas have [...]

By |2022-05-21T11:50:44+00:00May 10th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Economy, Housing Market, Markets, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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Fed Hikes Rates 50 Basis Points, Punts Balance Sheet Reduction to June 1st

The Federal Reserve increased the Federal Funds rate to a range of 0.75-1.00 percent. The 50 basis-point rate hike was largely expected. Powell shot down any talk of a 75 basis-point hike. Jerome Powell also announced that balance sheet reduction would begin June 1st. The FOMC statement. "The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. With appropriate firming in the stance of monetary policy, the Committee expects inflation to return to its 2 percent objective and the labor market to remain strong. In support [...]

By |2022-05-05T14:02:49+00:00May 5th, 2022|Economy, Housing Market, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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New Home Sales Market Finally Cooling Off

The market for new home sales is finally cooling off. The Census Bureau reported new home sales for March at 735,000 units (SAAR). This was 8.6% below the revised February estimate. It was also a 12.6% drop from March of last year. The median sales price of a new home contracted in March 2022 was $436,700. The average sales price was $523,900. Those were both new record highs. The unadjusted inventory of new homes stood at 5.7 months, up from 5.3 in February. Sky high prices and rising interest rates are now acting to cool [...]

By |2022-04-27T11:43:04+00:00April 27th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales|0 Comments
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Denton County Home Buyers Front-Run Rate Hikes Sending Prices Soaring

Fear of missing out (FOMO) was the theme last month in Denton County Texas as home buyers behaved like irrational humans often do. Buyers jumped into the local housing market front-running the coming Federal Reserve rate hikes. Home prices shattered records as a result. The median price of home rose 25.3% year-over-year to a record $464,000. Average prices rose 23.6% to a record high $554,098. Closed sales were roughly flat compared to last year. That's a testament to how frenzied the activity was given the current backdrop of spiraling interest rates. Pending sales (contracts) fell 10 [...]

By |2022-04-14T14:54:28+00:00April 12th, 2022|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Rent, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Lease, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Monetary Policy, Mortgage Rates|0 Comments
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