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In the Press

Powell Keeping Federal Reserve’s Waffle House Open For Business

Not more than two weeks after he was touting the strength of the U.S. economy and how we are in such a good place, Fed chairman Jerome Powell, tossed out a slightly dovish speech to the audience at the Economic Club of New York. The title of the event was the 'Federal Reserve's Framework for Monitoring Financial Stability'. They could just as easily called it sticking your finger up in the air to see which way the wind is blowing. While tossing out the typical central banker sound bites, Powell continued the long standing Federal [...]

By |2019-02-06T01:35:44+00:00November 29th, 2018|DFW Real Estate, Economy, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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Denton County Home Sales Continue Sliding In October

Denton County Texas home sales continued to slide in October as the real estate market softened throughout the Dallas-Fort Worth area. Closed sales in Denton County fell roughly 8 percent for the month of October compared to last year. This is slightly worse than the 6% sales decline for the Dallas-Fort Worth metro area. Pending single-family home sales in the Denton County area were down about 14 percent for the month of October as the stock market swoon also hit the local housing sector. The official statistical estimate of a 9 percent pending sales decline [...]

By |2021-07-05T13:47:18+00:00November 9th, 2018|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Relocation, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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DR Horton Posts Higher Sales And Orders On Lower Average Prices

Dallas-Fort Worth-based DR Horton released fourth quarter numbers showing an 11 percent increase in home closings for the latest three months ending September 30. The company also posted a 11 percent jump in new net sales orders for the fiscal fourth quarter. With 51,857 homes sold during the past year, DR Horton still edges out Lennar as the country's largest home builder by volume. While DR Horton posted solid results on new home sales and profitability in the latest quarter, the housing slowdown is still evident digging into the company's latest numbers. In the midst [...]

By |2021-07-05T13:47:45+00:00November 8th, 2018|Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, Economy, In the Press, Markets, Mortgage Rates, New Home Sales, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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High End Dallas-Fort Worth Real Estate Could Get Crushed

As I detailed yesterday, the Dallas-Fort Worth real estate market fell out of bed last month. With pending home sales registered to post some of the worst numbers in years and inventory marching higher across the Dallas Fort Worth area, it is painfully clear that that the real economy in the DFW area is more fragile than the sell-side pundits would have us believe. I'm not surprised, because I cover the hype and spin in the real estate sector regularly on this blog. In a recent interview with Bloomberg, 'Black Swan' author Nassim Taleb specifically [...]

By |2020-03-28T14:49:20+00:00November 5th, 2018|DFW Home Prices, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Spin Cycle, Video|1 Comment
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October Swoon Suggests Denton County Real Estate Market Correction Just Getting Started

Denton County's real estate market is going to post some very soft numbers again for October. Both closed and pending home sales are going to be down year-over-year while pending home sales are likely going to post a double-digit decline not just in Denton County, but for the entire Dallas-Fort Worth housing market. OUCH! Available home inventory is shooting higher across the DFW area. While notable economists at the Federal Reserve, local real estate "professionals" and even the "experts" at the RECenter at Texas A&M have been dismissing recent developments as just a cooling off [...]

By |2022-01-05T03:37:34+00:00November 4th, 2018|Dallas Tx Employment, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Humor, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Denton County Ranks 3rd In Nation For Inbound Migration, Relocation

Denton County Texas ranks as the 3rd most popular destination in the United States according to a recent study from RentCafe on inbound and outbound migration during the past 5 years. Denton was behind only Maricopa County in Arizona and Clark County in Nevada. Not surprisingly, Texas is home to 5 of the 10 most popular inbound destinations. Denton County's net migration gain of 96,000 during the last 5 years is 10,000 more than neighboring Collin County which also made the top 10, posting at number 6. People in Las Angeles, Chicago, New York, Miami [...]

By |2018-10-19T18:16:14+00:00October 19th, 2018|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Housing Market, In the Press, Real Estate, Relocation|0 Comments
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Existing Home Sales Lowest In 3 Years With 4.1% September Drop

The National Association of Realtors reported the lowest levels for existing U.S. home sales in 3 years. Sales of existing homes posted at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5,115,000 for September, down from August numbers which were also revised lower. The year-over-year decline in existing home sales of 4.1 percent puts sales levels back to where they were three years ago. Existing home inventory at 1.88 million homes was up slightly from last year's 1.86 million units. NAR's chief economist, Lawrence Yun, indicated that "higher interest rates have led to a decline in sales [...]

By |2020-09-22T15:47:51+00:00October 19th, 2018|Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, Existing Home Sales, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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LGI Homes’ Beaver Creek In Denton TX A Haven For Wall Street Landlord

The quiet little community of Beaver Creek on the north side of Denton Texas offers a perfect portrait of what's wrong with the current housing market in the United states. Beaver Creek is an LGI Homes community that specializes in affordable starter homes priced in the mid to upper $200's. Having viewed the community earlier this year, I was interested to see how sales would progress since Denton Texas is a popular destination for DFW home shoppers looking for affordable homes. Denton home prices are generally more affordable than the average prices in the Dallas-Fort [...]

By |2022-08-06T13:42:36+00:00October 16th, 2018|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Homes For Lease, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, Development, DFW Real Estate, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Mortgages, Spin Cycle, Texas Real Estate|2 Comments
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Hoisington Q3 Update – Deflationary Wave Of Debt Will Stifle Yields

The deflationary wave of debt growing within multiple facets of the U.S. economy will stifle yields. That's the gist of Van Hoisington and Lacy Hunt's latest third quarter Review and Outlook. As the market was puking on the latest surge in Treasury yields above 3%, I couldn't help but notice that the publicly traded homebuilders were getting crushed yet again. With the Freddie Mac 30-year mortgage rate touching 4.9 percent this week (levels not seen in 7 years), things were getting even uglier for the housing sector. There was nowhere to hide this week if [...]

By |2020-09-22T15:48:11+00:00October 13th, 2018|Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, Housing Policy, In the Press, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Mortgages, New Home Sales, Politics, Spin Cycle|0 Comments
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Yield Surge Hits Already Beaten Down Homebuilder Stocks

The yield surge experienced this week certainly took its toll on homebuilder stocks. As the yield on the benchmark U.S.  10 -Year Treasury eclipsed 3.2 percent this week, you could hear the air coming out of the publicly traded homebuilder sector. The Dow Jones U.S. Home Construction Index was down 27% as of yesterday's close. The year-to-date declines in the stocks of publicly traded homebuilders certainly don't echo the "remarkably positive" economic circumstances that Fed chair Jerome Powell was playing up this week. I can only assume he was referring to the Wall Street bonus [...]

By |2019-02-06T01:38:23+00:00October 5th, 2018|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County New Homes, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton Tx New Homes, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW New Homes, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Markets|1 Comment
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