Mortgage Rates

Mortgage rates for Texas homebuyers

Fed Says No Rate Hikes In 2019, Balance Sheet Drawdown Ending In September

The Jerome Powell cave is now a comical farce. Aside from using the word "patient" about 30 times in the March FOMC statement, Jerome Powell told us the Fed does not expect to hike interest rates at all in 2019. To top things off, the Fed balance sheet that was on autopilot at the end of last year will now end this September. In terms of the Fed's projections for the economy, growth was revised down and the unemployment rate was revised up slightly. "In light of global economic and financial developments and muted inflation [...]

Lower Mortgage Rates Fuel February Rebound In Denton County Real Estate Market

Lower mortgage interest rates and a sharp rebound in the stock market helped fuel a rebound in the Denton County real estate market in February. Closed home sales declined 4 percent year-over-year, improving from poor January figures. Average home prices in Denton County rose 2.4 percent compared to February of last year. Pending home sales for February actually moved into positive territory rising 6 percent for the month. The increase in contract signings indicates that buyers were enticed by dramatically higher inventory levels and the improvement in mortgage interest rates. New home sales in particular, [...]

Denton County TX New Home Sales Rebound With Lower Rates

New home sales in Denton County rebounded in February as lower rates helped to push some prospective buyers off the fence. New home prices in the Denton area are still a bit sluggish as the shift toward more affordable new home inventory continues so far in 2019. This can be seen in the lower average new home prices and stagnant price per square foot.  So far at least, new home buyers in the Denton area are willing to sacrifice some space in order to keep overall prices down. New home builders are trying to match [...]

Shadow Bank Lending, Rising Debt To Income Ratios Fueling Denton County Home Price Growth

Shadow banks, or nonbanks as they are often called, continue to dominate the mortgage space in the real estate echo bubble. This is the case in Denton County Texas and all across the country. Since 2008 the share of mortgage originations by nonbanks has more than doubled, rising from 24% in 2008 to 54% in 0217. The share of mortgages issued by traditional large banks continue to decline. As home prices rose throughout Denton County, the quality of the mortgages originated during this boom began deteriorating. Last year the deterioration in mortgage quality was pronounced. [...]

NAR: Existing Home Sales At 3-Year Low In January

The National Association of Realtors reported that existing home sales for January posted at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) of 4.94 million. This was 1.2 percent lower than the December reading, and 8.5 percent lower than the same time a year ago. The median price of a resale home sold in January was $247,500 while the average price of a U.S. resale property sold in January was $286,800. With the modest rise in prices, January saw the 83rd consecutive month of year-over-year price gains. The inventory of existing homes in the U.S. rose 4.6 [...]

Denton County Home Sales Fall Out Of The Gate In 2019

Denton County home sales remained in their downward trend as we started 2019. NTREIS figures show that sales of Denton County homes fell 13 percent from the same time last year. Pending sales, a more forward looking indicator, did show a slight improvement, though not enough to pull the index into positive territory. Pending home sales in the Denton County area were down 6 percent compared to January 2018. The recent plunge in mortgage rates back to 1-year lows has helped to cushion the fall in an otherwise stagnating housing market. DFW home sales fell [...]

Caveman Powell Looking To Levitate Stock, Housing Bubbles

Yesterday the Federal Reserve yelped like a whipped puppy as Jerome Powell turned into the latest iteration of his market-dependent Bernanke/Yellen/Greenspan predecessors. If you remember, Mr. Powell was here in the DFW area back in November playing up the fabulous state of the U.S economy and the Fed's wonderful policies. At the time expectations were that the Fed would be raising the Federal Funds rate four more times this year with a balance sheet reduction schedule that was supposedly on "autopilot" to the tune of $50 billion per month rolling off. Flash forward one quarter [...]

D.R. Horton New Home Orders Miss Expectations With Average Prices At 5-Year Low

Arlington-based D.R. Horton posted some mixed fiscal first quarter results today with the DFW homebuilder missing profit and sales order expectations. D.R. saw rising sales and revenue for the quarter, but even with a huge tax expense reduction and 4.1 million shares repurchased by the company, things didn't quite work out as well as the company might have anticipated. D.R. Horton closed 7 percent more homes in the latest quarter, 11,500, but net sales orders for the period ending in December rose only 3 percent to 11042 homes. That D.R. Horton was able to achieve [...]

NAR: Existing Home Sales Dropped 10.3% In December

Yesterday the National Association of Realtors told us existing home sales in the U.S. were down 10.3 percent compared to the same time a year ago. NAR's chief economist, Lawrence Yun, blamed the rise in mortgage rates. "The housing market is obviously very sensitive to mortgage rates. Softer sales in December reflected consumer search processes and contract signing activity in previous months when mortgage rates were higher than today. Now, with mortgage rates lower, some revival in home sales is expected going into spring." Yun is correct to a point, but still missing the bigger [...]

Denton TX Mortgage Rates Lowest In 9 Months

The benchmark 30-year mortgage interest rate dipped to 4.45 percent in the latest Freddie Mac weekly survey. That's the lowest level for mortgage interest rates that Denton Texas home buyers have seen in since last March. Not surprisingly, mortgage purchase applications have picked up slightly to start 2019. That's good news because purchase applications were trending lower for much of the fourth quarter of 2018 It remains to be seen whether the dip in interest rates will be enough to spark area home sales into the green. While mortgage rates are the lowest we've seen [...]

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