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Denton County Unemployment Spikes To 12.9% In April

Denton County unemployment hit 12.9 percent in April, and the City of Denton saw unemployment spike to 14.1 percent last month. For the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA, unemployment rose to 12.8 percent in April. Those were the sobering statistics from the Texas Workforce Commission. The destruction to the North Texas labor force created by the Covid-19 pandemic and lockdowns is hard to grasp, because the United States hasn't experienced anything similar since the Great Depression. Even after the Great Recession in 2008 U.S. unemployment levels peaked around 10 percent. The May unemployment numbers for Denton County [...]

By |2020-05-26T12:07:41+00:00May 26th, 2020|Denton County Employment, Denton County Relocation, DFW Employment, DFW Relocation, Economy, Employment, Relocation, Texas Employment|0 Comments
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Contracts For North Texas Home Purchases Still Shrinking

I have been monitoring the contracts for home purchases in the North Texas area since last week, and the numbers are not encouraging. The number of active option contract properties (listings where the home has gone under contract with a buyer option to back out) continues to shrink. This is not surprising considering the economic backdrop, but it also points to a more prolonged downturn than many in the real estate industry were expecting. Pending sales data for March will not be pretty, but the April data for North Texas home sales could be an [...]

By |2020-09-22T15:45:59+00:00April 3rd, 2020|Denton County Homes For Sale, Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Homes For Sale, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Employment, DFW Homes For Sale, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Employment, Housing Market, Housing Policy, Politics, Relocation, Texas Employment|0 Comments
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Dallas Fed Manufacturing Survey Crashes, Hit To Texas Housing Market Awaits

The Dallas Fed Texas Manufacturing Outlook Survey for March just crashed to the worst levels since the survey began. The production index cratered from 16.4 to negative 35. New orders dropped to negative 41.3, and the growth rate of new orders index fell to negative 44.9. The employment index fell to negative 23.0, and the hours worked index fell to negative 22.4 "The general business activity index plunged from 1.2 to -70.0, and the company outlook index fell from 3.6 to -65.6. Both March readings are the lowest since the survey began in June 2004." [...]

By |2020-03-30T17:10:34+00:00March 30th, 2020|Denton County Real Estate, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Housing Market, In the Press, Texas Employment, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Reckoning Awaits For Inflated North Texas Real Estate Market

The reckoning awaits for the hyper-financialized north Texas real estate market.  It may take a few months for reality to sink in, but the writing is on the wall regardless of the efforts of housing industry pundits and professional economists to downplay the damage. The hopes of a v-shaped recovery are vanishing faster than the toilet paper on the shelves of your local grocery store. Many of the supposed experts, like the PhD economists employed at the Texas Real Estate Center at A&M, have turned a blind eye to the artificial inflation in Texas real [...]

By |2020-03-28T17:13:52+00:00March 21st, 2020|Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton County Relocation, Denton Tx Home Prices, Denton TX Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, DFW Relocation, Energy & Utilities, Housing Market, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Real Estate, Relocation, Texas Employment, Texas Home Prices, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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DFW Adds 10,000 Jobs In June, CPI Still Running Hot

The DFW area tacked on another 10,000 jobs during the month of June according to numbers released by the Texas Workforce Commission. That was more than a third of the 27,200 positions gained in Texas during the month. The unemployment rate for the Dallas-Fort Worth- Arlington MSA posted a 3.8 percent, just slightly below the 3.9 percent figure at this time last year. Midland Texas still held the lowest unemployment rate in Texas at only 2.4 percent. While the Dallas area still posted solid job gains during the month of June, the unadjusted numbers show [...]

By |2020-03-28T14:41:24+00:00July 21st, 2018|Dallas Tx Employment, Dallas Tx Home Prices, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Relocation, Texas Employment, Texas Home Prices|0 Comments
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DFW Region Posts Solid Job Growth In May

The Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington (DFW) region posted another month of solid employment gains in May, tacking on an additional 20,200 jobs compared to April according to non-adjusted numbers from the Texas Workforce Commission. For the 12-month period in May, the DFW area has added 122,000 jobs. This kept the official unemployment rate for the Dallas-Fort Worth area at 3.4 percent. Texas added 34,700 seasonally adjusted nonfarm jobs during the month. While job growth remains solid in the DFW area, what's also running hot are DFW prices. The consumer price index for the Dallas MSA posted at [...]

By |2020-03-28T14:41:39+00:00June 16th, 2018|Dallas Tx Employment, Denton County Home Prices, Denton Tx Home Prices, DFW Home Prices, Economy, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Texas Employment|0 Comments
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Dallas TX Employment Reaches New Heights In April

Employment growth in the Dallas area (Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlingon MSA) pushed to new heights in April with a new record for jobs in the region. Dallas has added jobs each month so far this year as the unemployment rate sits near 3.4 percent. Texas added a total of 39,600 jobs in April according to seasonally adjusted data from the Texas Workforce Commission. The oil boom in the Permian Basin continued to boost employment in the Odessa Midland area with Midland posting a state-low unemployment rate of just 2.1 percent. Non-adjusted data show that the Dallas area [...]

By |2020-03-28T14:42:46+00:00May 22nd, 2018|Dallas Tx Employment, Denton County Real Estate, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Relocation, Texas Employment|0 Comments
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Markets Wobbling As Fed Normalization Hits $30 Billion Per Month In Q2

The markets were wobbling again this week, but regardless, the Fed normalization will hit $30 billion per month in April. I must confess that I get a good laugh when I hear market apologists and real estate pundits talk up the magnificent economy and housing market we are blessed with in Texas. Yes, things are pretty good here in the Lone Star State, and the DFW housing market still seems to have legs. Unfortunately the real economy is not nearly as robust as many talking heads and sell-side practitioners would have you believe. The March employment [...]

By |2018-04-06T23:20:16+00:00April 6th, 2018|DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Education, Markets, Mortgage Rates, Politics, Real Estate, Spin Cycle, Texas Employment, Texas Home Prices, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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Fed Unwinds $21 Billion, Markets Puke On Higher Yields

The Federal Reserve System Open Market Account Holdings (SOMA) report for January 31st finally revealed the balance sheet unwind in action. Since the Fed announced their balance sheet unwind last year, the actual process had been proceeding at a snails pace, particularly with the mortgage-backed securities portfolio. The MBS instruments can take 2-3 months to roll off, so the MBS unwind has been virtually invisible until this week. With a $21 billion drawdown in the latest week, including over $10 billion in agency MBS unwind, it becomes increasingly clear why the markets were puking all [...]

By |2018-05-12T00:52:47+00:00February 2nd, 2018|Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Home Prices, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, Denton Tx Home Prices, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, Education, Housing Market, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Politics, Regulation, Texas Employment|0 Comments
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Dallas TX Employment Growth Sputters In December But Finishes Year Higher

Dallas TX employment growth sputtered in December with the non-adjusted numbers from the Texas Workforce Commission showing a gain of 2000 jobs for DFW in December. That's a far cry from the strong numbers seen in November, but the yearly gains were still respectable. Over the 12 month period the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington MSA added 91,700 jobs. Dallas Fort Worth is still running hotter than the Houston region, with CPI numbers that are almost twice as strong (3.2% vs 1.7%). The official (massaged) unemployment rate in Dallas stood at 3.6% in December. Houston posted an unemployment [...]

By |2020-03-28T14:43:47+00:00January 20th, 2018|Collin County Home Prices, Dallas Tx Employment, Denton County Home Prices, Denton County Real Estate, DFW Home Prices, DFW Real Estate, Economy, In the Press, Mortgage Rates, Texas Employment, Texas Home Prices, Texas Real Estate|0 Comments
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